FirstInningRuns.com

2 games · times Eastern · stats are before today's games

Houston Astros at Minnesota Twins

4:07 PM ETTarget Field · Minneapolis, MNFinal
Top 1st Astros bat vs Sonny Gray RHP4 runs
Pitcher, this season scoreless 29 of 33 (88%) · 0.12 runs/1st 33 starts
Pitcher vs Astros scoreless 2 of 2 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 2 starts
Astros vs RHP scored in 36 of 115 (31%) · 0.68 runs/1st 115 games
Astros top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Twins bat vs Cristian Javier RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 23 of 31 (74%) · 0.58 runs/1st 31 starts
Pitcher vs TwinsHasn't faced the Twins
Twins vs RHP scored in 37 of 127 (29%) · 0.57 runs/1st 127 games
Twins top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 5 mph blowing out (+5 mph toward center) · 54°F, Sunny
MLB game-time report: “5 mph, Out To CF”
Plate umpire Bill Miller
With this umpire run in the 1st in 15 of 32 (47%) · league 50% 32 games
Per 1st inning 0.41 BB+HBP (lg 0.85) · 2.28 K (lg 2.02) · 0.94 runs (lg 1.07)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
barstool+100-130

Market's NRFI chance: 53% (margin removed, average of 1 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Baltimore Orioles at Texas Rangers

8:03 PM ETGlobe Life Field · Arlington, TXFinal
Top 1st Orioles bat vs Nathan Eovaldi RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 20 of 26 (77%) · 0.38 runs/1st 26 starts
Pitcher vs OriolesHasn't faced the Orioles
Orioles vs RHP scored in 28 of 109 (26%) · 0.50 runs/1st 109 games
Orioles top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Rangers bat vs Dean Kremer RHP1 run
Pitcher, this season scoreless 19 of 32 (59%) · 0.59 runs/1st 32 starts
Pitcher vs Rangers scoreless 1 of 1 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 1 start
Rangers vs RHP scored in 38 of 122 (31%) · 0.48 runs/1st 122 games
Rangers top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind Roof closed: no wind · 74°F
MLB game-time report: “0 mph, None”
Plate umpire Alfonso Márquez
With this umpire run in the 1st in 10 of 29 (34%) · league 50% 29 games
Per 1st inning 1.00 BB+HBP (lg 0.85) · 2.00 K (lg 2.02) · 0.76 runs (lg 1.07)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
barstool-125-105

Market's NRFI chance: 48% (margin removed, average of 1 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.