FirstInningRuns.com

4 games · times Eastern · stats are before today's games

Detroit Tigers at Houston Astros

2:32 PM ETDaikin Park · Houston, TXFinal
Top 1st Tigers bat vs Hunter Brown RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 22 of 30 (73%) · 0.70 runs/1st 30 starts
Pitcher vs Tigers scoreless 3 of 3 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 3 starts
Tigers vs RHP scored in 37 of 129 (29%) · 0.46 runs/1st 129 games
Tigers top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Astros bat vs Tyler Holton LHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 7 of 9 (78%) · 0.33 runs/1st 9 starts
Pitcher vs AstrosHasn't faced the Astros
Astros vs LHP scored in 13 of 47 (28%) · 0.45 runs/1st 47 games
Astros top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind Roof closed: no wind · 73°F
MLB game-time report: “0 mph, None”
Plate umpire Jordan Baker
With this umpire run in the 1st in 23 of 57 (40%) · league 49% 57 games
Per 1st inning 0.93 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 2.11 K (lg 2.00) · 0.86 runs (lg 1.03)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel+126-162
BetMGM+105-135
Caesars+120-150
betonlineag+131-175
BetRivers+105-132

Market's NRFI chance: 57% (margin removed, average of 5 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Kansas City Royals at Baltimore Orioles

4:38 PM ETOriole Park at Camden Yards · Baltimore, MDFinal
Top 1st Royals bat vs Zach Eflin RHP1 run
Pitcher, this season scoreless 20 of 28 (71%) · 0.43 runs/1st 28 starts
Pitcher vs Royals scoreless 1 of 3 (33%) · 0.67 runs/1st 3 starts
Royals vs RHP scored in 34 of 126 (27%) · 0.48 runs/1st 126 games
Royals top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Orioles bat vs Seth Lugo RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 29 of 33 (88%) · 0.24 runs/1st 33 starts
Pitcher vs Orioles scoreless 1 of 1 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 1 start
Orioles vs RHP scored in 36 of 119 (30%) · 0.56 runs/1st 119 games
Orioles top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 3 mph across the field · 69°F, Cloudy
MLB game-time report: “3 mph, L To R”
Plate umpire Ben May
With this umpire run in the 1st in 33 of 58 (57%) · league 49% 58 games
Per 1st inning 0.64 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 1.79 K (lg 2.00) · 1.34 runs (lg 1.03)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel+114-146
BetMGM+110-145
Caesars+120-150
betonlineag+127-169
BetRivers+108-137

Market's NRFI chance: 56% (margin removed, average of 5 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers

7:38 PM ETAmerican Family Field · Milwaukee, WIFinal
Top 1st Mets bat vs Frankie Montas RHP1 run
Pitcher, this season scoreless 23 of 30 (77%) · 0.47 runs/1st 30 starts
Pitcher vs Mets scoreless 1 of 1 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 1 start
Mets vs RHP scored in 26 of 117 (22%) · 0.36 runs/1st 117 games
Mets top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Brewers bat vs Sean Manaea LHP1 run
Pitcher, this season scoreless 26 of 32 (81%) · 0.34 runs/1st 32 starts
Pitcher vs Brewers scoreless 0 of 2 (0%) · 3.00 runs/1st 2 starts
Brewers vs LHP scored in 13 of 48 (27%) · 0.50 runs/1st 48 games
Brewers top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind Roof closed: no wind · 73°F
MLB game-time report: “0 mph, None”
Plate umpire Chris Segal
With this umpire run in the 1st in 29 of 61 (48%) · league 49% 61 games
Per 1st inning 0.72 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 1.92 K (lg 2.00) · 0.98 runs (lg 1.03)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel+106-136
BetMGM+105-135
Caesars+120-150
betonlineag+117-156
BetRivers+112-141

Market's NRFI chance: 56% (margin removed, average of 5 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Atlanta Braves at San Diego Padres

8:38 PM ETPetco Park · San Diego, CAFinal
Top 1st Braves bat vs Joe Musgrove RHP1 run
Pitcher, this season scoreless 14 of 19 (74%) · 0.42 runs/1st 19 starts
Pitcher vs BravesHasn't faced the Braves
Braves vs RHP scored in 33 of 117 (28%) · 0.50 runs/1st 117 games
Braves top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Padres bat vs Max Fried LHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 23 of 29 (79%) · 0.48 runs/1st 29 starts
Pitcher vs Padres scoreless 2 of 2 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 2 starts
Padres vs LHP scored in 9 of 46 (20%) · 0.41 runs/1st 46 games
Padres top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 6 mph across the field · 70°F, Clear
MLB game-time report: “6 mph, L To R”
Plate umpire Phil Cuzzi
With this umpire run in the 1st in 29 of 60 (48%) · league 49% 60 games
Per 1st inning 0.52 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 2.30 K (lg 2.00) · 1.15 runs (lg 1.03)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel+116-148
BetMGM+115-150
Caesars+130-160
betonlineag+135-182
BetRivers+125-159

Market's NRFI chance: 58% (margin removed, average of 5 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.