FirstInningRuns.com

4 games · times Eastern · stats are before today's games

Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians

1:08 PM ETProgressive Field · Cleveland, OHFinal
Top 1st Tigers bat vs Tanner Bibee RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 20 of 31 (65%) · 0.52 runs/1st 31 starts
Pitcher vs Tigers scoreless 3 of 6 (50%) · 1.00 runs/1st 6 starts
Tigers vs RHP scored in 37 of 130 (28%) · 0.45 runs/1st 130 games
Tigers top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Guardians bat vs Tyler Holton LHP5 runs
Pitcher, this season scoreless 8 of 10 (80%) · 0.30 runs/1st 10 starts
Pitcher vs Guardians scoreless 3 of 3 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 3 starts
Guardians vs LHP scored in 15 of 40 (38%) · 0.57 runs/1st 40 games
Guardians top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 9 mph blowing in (−6 mph from center) · 68°F, Sunny
MLB game-time report: “9 mph, In From RF”
Plate umpire Adam Beck
With this umpire run in the 1st in 23 of 58 (40%) · league 49% 58 games
Per 1st inning 0.97 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 2.02 K (lg 2.00) · 1.14 runs (lg 1.03)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel+124-158
BetMGM+115-150
Caesars+140-170
betonlineag+133-179
BetRivers+120-155

Market's NRFI chance: 58% (margin removed, average of 5 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies

4:08 PM ETCitizens Bank Park · Philadelphia, PAFinal
Top 1st Mets bat vs Zack Wheeler RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 28 of 32 (88%) · 0.13 runs/1st 32 starts
Pitcher vs Mets scoreless 3 of 3 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 3 starts
Mets vs RHP scored in 27 of 119 (23%) · 0.36 runs/1st 119 games
Mets top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Phillies bat vs Kodai Senga RHP1 run
Pitcher, this season scoreless 1 of 1 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 1 start
Pitcher vs Phillies scoreless 1 of 2 (50%) · 1.00 runs/1st 2 starts
Phillies vs RHP scored in 38 of 104 (37%) · 0.63 runs/1st 104 games
Phillies top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 7 mph across the field · 77°F, Sunny
MLB game-time report: “7 mph, L To R”
Plate umpire Andy Fletcher
With this umpire run in the 1st in 32 of 64 (50%) · league 49% 64 games
Per 1st inning 1.06 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 1.95 K (lg 2.00) · 1.33 runs (lg 1.03)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel+110-140
BetMGM+115-150
Caesars+115-145
betonlineag+117-156
BetRivers+114-143

Market's NRFI chance: 56% (margin removed, average of 5 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Kansas City Royals at New York Yankees

6:38 PM ETYankee Stadium · Bronx, NYFinal
Top 1st Royals bat vs Gerrit Cole RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 14 of 17 (82%) · 0.24 runs/1st 17 starts
Pitcher vs Royals scoreless 1 of 1 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 1 start
Royals vs RHP scored in 35 of 127 (28%) · 0.48 runs/1st 127 games
Royals top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Yankees bat vs Michael Wacha RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 22 of 29 (76%) · 0.28 runs/1st 29 starts
Pitcher vs Yankees scoreless 0 of 1 (0%) · 1.00 runs/1st 1 start
Yankees vs RHP scored in 45 of 118 (38%) · 0.75 runs/1st 118 games
Yankees top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 6 mph blowing in (−4 mph from center) · 71°F, Clear
MLB game-time report: “6 mph, In From LF”
Plate umpire Adam Hamari
With this umpire run in the 1st in 30 of 65 (46%) · league 49% 65 games
Per 1st inning 0.77 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 1.86 K (lg 2.00) · 1.00 runs (lg 1.03)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel+104-132
BetMGM+105-135
Caesars+110-140
betonlineag+101-133
BetRivers+100-127

Market's NRFI chance: 54% (margin removed, average of 5 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers

8:38 PM ETUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium · Los Angeles, CAFinal
Top 1st Padres bat vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto RHP3 runs
Pitcher, this season scoreless 13 of 18 (72%) · 0.67 runs/1st 18 starts
Pitcher vs Padres scoreless 0 of 2 (0%) · 3.50 runs/1st 2 starts
Padres vs RHP scored in 39 of 117 (33%) · 0.67 runs/1st 117 games
Padres top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Dodgers bat vs Dylan Cease RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 20 of 33 (61%) · 0.67 runs/1st 33 starts
Pitcher vs Dodgers scoreless 2 of 3 (67%) · 0.33 runs/1st 3 starts
Dodgers vs RHP scored in 44 of 109 (40%) · 0.73 runs/1st 109 games
Dodgers top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind calm (2 mph) · 77°F, Clear
MLB game-time report: “2 mph, Out To CF”
Plate umpire Mark Ripperger
With this umpire run in the 1st in 34 of 62 (55%) · league 49% 62 games
Per 1st inning 0.74 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 1.84 K (lg 2.00) · 1.35 runs (lg 1.03)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel+100-128
BetMGM+100-125
Caesars+105-135
betonlineag+100-133

Market's NRFI chance: 53% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.