FirstInningRuns.com

2 games · times Eastern · stats are before today's games

Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers

6:08 PM ETComerica Park · Detroit, MIFinal
Top 1st Guardians bat vs Reese Olson RHP1 run
Pitcher, this season scoreless 22 of 22 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 22 starts
Pitcher vs Guardians scoreless 2 of 2 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 2 starts
Guardians vs RHP scored in 30 of 122 (25%) · 0.44 runs/1st 122 games
Guardians top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Tigers bat vs Tanner Bibee RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 21 of 32 (66%) · 0.50 runs/1st 32 starts
Pitcher vs Tigers scoreless 4 of 7 (57%) · 0.86 runs/1st 7 starts
Tigers vs RHP scored in 38 of 132 (29%) · 0.45 runs/1st 132 games
Tigers top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind calm (2 mph) · 61°F, Clear
MLB game-time report: “2 mph, In From CF”
Plate umpire Todd Tichenor
With this umpire run in the 1st in 28 of 60 (47%) · league 49% 60 games
Per 1st inning 0.62 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 1.78 K (lg 2.00) · 0.85 runs (lg 1.03)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel+122-156
BetMGM+120-155
Caesars+150-180
betonlineag+145-196
BetRivers+125-159

Market's NRFI chance: 59% (margin removed, average of 5 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

New York Yankees at Kansas City Royals

8:08 PM ETKauffman Stadium · Kansas City, MOFinal
Top 1st Yankees bat vs Michael Wacha RHP1 run
Pitcher, this season scoreless 23 of 30 (77%) · 0.27 runs/1st 30 starts
Pitcher vs Yankees scoreless 1 of 2 (50%) · 0.50 runs/1st 2 starts
Yankees vs RHP scored in 45 of 120 (38%) · 0.73 runs/1st 120 games
Yankees top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Royals bat vs Gerrit Cole RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 15 of 18 (83%) · 0.22 runs/1st 18 starts
Pitcher vs Royals scoreless 2 of 2 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 2 starts
Royals vs RHP scored in 35 of 129 (27%) · 0.47 runs/1st 129 games
Royals top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 6 mph across the field · 78°F, Clear
MLB game-time report: “6 mph, R To L”
Plate umpire Mark Carlson
With this umpire run in the 1st in 33 of 58 (57%) · league 49% 58 games
Per 1st inning 0.93 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 1.95 K (lg 2.00) · 1.19 runs (lg 1.03)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel-108-118
BetMGM+110-140
Caesars+100-130
betonlineag+115-154

Market's NRFI chance: 54% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.