FirstInningRuns.com

2 games · times Eastern · stats are before today's games

Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets

5:08 PM ETCiti Field · Flushing, NYFinal
Top 1st Dodgers bat vs David Peterson LHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 20 of 21 (95%) · 0.05 runs/1st 21 starts
Pitcher vs Dodgers scoreless 1 of 2 (50%) · 0.50 runs/1st 2 starts
Dodgers vs LHP scored in 15 of 55 (27%) · 0.45 runs/1st 55 games
Dodgers top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Mets bat vs Jack Flaherty RHP3 runs
Pitcher, this season scoreless 23 of 30 (77%) · 0.37 runs/1st 30 starts
Pitcher vs Mets scoreless 1 of 1 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 1 start
Mets vs RHP scored in 29 of 125 (23%) · 0.36 runs/1st 125 games
Mets top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 7 mph blowing in (−5 mph from center) · 67°F, Clear
MLB game-time report: “7 mph, In From LF”
Plate umpire Bill Miller
With this umpire run in the 1st in 34 of 65 (52%) · league 49% 65 games
Per 1st inning 0.57 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 2.11 K (lg 2.00) · 1.12 runs (lg 1.03)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel+112-142
BetMGM+105-135
Caesars+120-150
betonlineag+125-167
BetRivers+100-125

Market's NRFI chance: 56% (margin removed, average of 5 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

New York Yankees at Cleveland Guardians

8:08 PM ETProgressive Field · Cleveland, OHFinal
Top 1st Yankees bat vs Gavin Williams RHP2 runs
Pitcher, this season scoreless 11 of 16 (69%) · 0.75 runs/1st 16 starts
Pitcher vs Yankees scoreless 1 of 1 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 1 start
Yankees vs RHP scored in 47 of 123 (38%) · 0.73 runs/1st 123 games
Yankees top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Guardians bat vs Luis Gil RHP1 run
Pitcher, this season scoreless 24 of 29 (83%) · 0.24 runs/1st 29 starts
Pitcher vs Guardians scoreless 1 of 1 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 1 start
Guardians vs RHP scored in 31 of 125 (25%) · 0.44 runs/1st 125 games
Guardians top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 5 mph blowing in (−4 mph from center) · 56°F, Clear
MLB game-time report: “5 mph, In From RF”
Plate umpire Chris Segal
With this umpire run in the 1st in 30 of 62 (48%) · league 49% 62 games
Per 1st inning 0.73 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 1.92 K (lg 2.00) · 1.00 runs (lg 1.03)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel+100-128
BetMGM+105-135
Caesars+105-135
betonlineag+108-143
BetRivers-105-121

Market's NRFI chance: 54% (margin removed, average of 5 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.