FirstInningRuns.com

4 games · times Eastern · stats are before today's games

Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians

1:08 PM ETProgressive Field · Cleveland, OHFinal
Top 1st Tigers bat vs Gavin Williams RHP1 run
Pitcher, this season scoreless 23 of 31 (74%) · 0.42 runs/1st 31 starts
Pitcher vs Tigers scoreless 6 of 7 (86%) · 0.43 runs/1st 7 starts
Tigers vs RHP scored in 30 of 120 (25%) · 0.54 runs/1st 120 games
Tigers top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Guardians bat vs Tarik Skubal LHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 27 of 31 (87%) · 0.16 runs/1st 31 starts
Pitcher vs Guardians scoreless 7 of 8 (88%) · 0.13 runs/1st 8 starts
Guardians vs LHP scored in 13 of 46 (28%) · 0.41 runs/1st 46 games
Guardians top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 10 mph blowing in (−7 mph from center) · 74°F, Sunny
MLB game-time report: “10 mph, In From RF”
Plate umpire Shane Livensparger
With this umpire run in the 1st in 39 of 67 (58%) · league 49% 67 games
Per 1st inning 0.91 BB+HBP (lg 0.82) · 1.84 K (lg 2.00) · 1.24 runs (lg 1.04)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel+162-210
BetMGM+140-185
Caesars+155-190
betonlineag+160-217

Market's NRFI chance: 63% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

San Diego Padres at Chicago Cubs

3:08 PM ETWrigley Field · Chicago, ILFinal
Top 1st Padres bat vs Matthew Boyd LHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 23 of 31 (74%) · 0.45 runs/1st 31 starts
Pitcher vs Padres scoreless 2 of 2 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 2 starts
Padres vs LHP scored in 14 of 49 (29%) · 0.61 runs/1st 49 games
Padres top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Cubs bat vs Nick Pivetta RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 23 of 31 (74%) · 0.35 runs/1st 31 starts
Pitcher vs Cubs scoreless 2 of 2 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 2 starts
Cubs vs RHP scored in 39 of 120 (33%) · 0.62 runs/1st 120 games
Cubs top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 3 mph blowing in (−3 mph from center) · 75°F, Sunny
MLB game-time report: “3 mph, In From CF”
Plate umpire Erich Bacchus
With this umpire run in the 1st in 46 of 86 (53%) · league 49% 86 games
Per 1st inning 0.93 BB+HBP (lg 0.82) · 2.05 K (lg 2.00) · 1.20 runs (lg 1.04)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel+126-162
BetMGM+130-165
Caesars+120-150
betonlineag+120-161

Market's NRFI chance: 58% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees

6:08 PM ETYankee Stadium · Bronx, NYFinal
Top 1st Red Sox bat vs Max Fried LHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 24 of 32 (75%) · 0.31 runs/1st 32 starts
Pitcher vs Red Sox scoreless 3 of 4 (75%) · 0.25 runs/1st 4 starts
Red Sox vs LHP scored in 15 of 45 (33%) · 0.67 runs/1st 45 games
Red Sox top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Yankees bat vs Garrett Crochet LHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 26 of 32 (81%) · 0.25 runs/1st 32 starts
Pitcher vs Yankees scoreless 4 of 4 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 4 starts
Yankees vs LHP scored in 15 of 36 (42%) · 0.67 runs/1st 36 games
Yankees top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 8 mph across the field · 77°F, Partly Cloudy
MLB game-time report: “8 mph, L To R”
Plate umpire Junior Valentine
With this umpire run in the 1st in 38 of 83 (46%) · league 49% 83 games
Per 1st inning 0.73 BB+HBP (lg 0.82) · 2.06 K (lg 2.00) · 0.78 runs (lg 1.04)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel+128-164
BetMGM+125-160
Caesars+140-170
betonlineag+135-182

Market's NRFI chance: 59% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Cincinnati Reds at Los Angeles Dodgers

9:08 PM ETUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium · Los Angeles, CAFinal
Top 1st Reds bat vs Blake Snell LHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 8 of 11 (73%) · 0.36 runs/1st 11 starts
Pitcher vs Reds scoreless 2 of 2 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 2 starts
Reds vs LHP scored in 10 of 46 (22%) · 0.35 runs/1st 46 games
Reds top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Dodgers bat vs Hunter Greene RHP1 run
Pitcher, this season scoreless 16 of 19 (84%) · 0.21 runs/1st 19 starts
Pitcher vs Dodgers scoreless 3 of 3 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 3 starts
Dodgers vs RHP scored in 41 of 115 (36%) · 0.70 runs/1st 115 games
Dodgers top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 4 mph blowing out (+3 mph toward center) · 71°F, Clear
MLB game-time report: “4 mph, Out To RF”
Plate umpire Nick Mahrley
With this umpire run in the 1st in 45 of 86 (52%) · league 49% 86 games
Per 1st inning 0.86 BB+HBP (lg 0.82) · 2.01 K (lg 2.00) · 1.01 runs (lg 1.04)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel+124-158
BetMGM+118-150
Caesars+120-150
betonlineag+125-167

Market's NRFI chance: 57% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.