FirstInningRuns.com

4 games · times Eastern · stats are before today's games

Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers

2:08 PM ETAmerican Family Field · Milwaukee, WIFinal
Top 1st Cubs bat vs Freddy Peralta RHP1 run
Pitcher, this season scoreless 28 of 33 (85%) · 0.21 runs/1st 33 starts
Pitcher vs Cubs scoreless 5 of 8 (63%) · 0.50 runs/1st 8 starts
Cubs vs RHP scored in 39 of 123 (32%) · 0.60 runs/1st 123 games
Cubs top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Brewers bat vs Matthew Boyd LHP6 runs
Pitcher, this season scoreless 24 of 32 (75%) · 0.44 runs/1st 32 starts
Pitcher vs Brewers scoreless 2 of 3 (67%) · 0.33 runs/1st 3 starts
Brewers vs LHP scored in 9 of 47 (19%) · 0.36 runs/1st 47 games
Brewers top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 4 mph across the field · 85°F, Sunny
MLB game-time report: “4 mph, R To L”
Plate umpire Edwin Moscoso
With this umpire run in the 1st in 51 of 96 (53%) · league 49% 96 games
Per 1st inning 1.03 BB+HBP (lg 0.82) · 1.94 K (lg 2.00) · 1.21 runs (lg 1.04)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel+116-148
BetMGM+110-140
Caesars+115-145
betonlineag+133-179

Market's NRFI chance: 57% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays

4:08 PM ETRogers Centre · Toronto, ONFinal
Top 1st Yankees bat vs Kevin Gausman RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 22 of 32 (69%) · 0.41 runs/1st 32 starts
Pitcher vs Yankees scoreless 8 of 12 (67%) · 0.75 runs/1st 12 starts
Yankees vs RHP scored in 51 of 127 (40%) · 0.72 runs/1st 127 games
Yankees top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Blue Jays bat vs Luis Gil RHP1 run
Pitcher, this season scoreless 10 of 11 (91%) · 0.09 runs/1st 11 starts
Pitcher vs Blue Jays scoreless 3 of 3 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 3 starts
Blue Jays vs RHP scored in 38 of 122 (31%) · 0.57 runs/1st 122 games
Blue Jays top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 3 mph across the field · 77°F, Sunny
MLB game-time report: “3 mph, R To L”
Plate umpire Chris Segal
With this umpire run in the 1st in 45 of 91 (49%) · league 49% 91 games
Per 1st inning 0.79 BB+HBP (lg 0.82) · 2.04 K (lg 2.00) · 1.05 runs (lg 1.04)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel-106-120
BetMGM-102-125
Caesars-105-125
betonlineag-106-125

Market's NRFI chance: 52% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Los Angeles Dodgers at Philadelphia Phillies

6:38 PM ETCitizens Bank Park · Philadelphia, PAFinal
Top 1st Dodgers bat vs Cristopher Sánchez LHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 27 of 32 (84%) · 0.19 runs/1st 32 starts
Pitcher vs Dodgers scoreless 3 of 4 (75%) · 0.50 runs/1st 4 starts
Dodgers vs LHP scored in 12 of 47 (26%) · 0.49 runs/1st 47 games
Dodgers top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Phillies bat vs Shohei Ohtani RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 11 of 14 (79%) · 0.21 runs/1st 14 starts
Pitcher vs Phillies scoreless 1 of 1 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 1 start
Phillies vs RHP scored in 37 of 114 (32%) · 0.65 runs/1st 114 games
Phillies top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 6 mph across the field · 77°F, Cloudy
MLB game-time report: “6 mph, Varies”
Plate umpire Nestor Ceja
With this umpire run in the 1st in 43 of 90 (48%) · league 49% 90 games
Per 1st inning 0.74 BB+HBP (lg 0.82) · 2.02 K (lg 2.00) · 1.04 runs (lg 1.04)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel+118-150
BetMGM+120-155
Caesars+110-140
betonlineag+125-167

Market's NRFI chance: 57% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Detroit Tigers at Seattle Mariners

8:38 PM ETT-Mobile Park · Seattle, WAFinal
Top 1st Tigers bat vs George Kirby RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 19 of 23 (83%) · 0.39 runs/1st 23 starts
Pitcher vs Tigers scoreless 1 of 4 (25%) · 0.75 runs/1st 4 starts
Tigers vs RHP scored in 31 of 123 (25%) · 0.54 runs/1st 123 games
Tigers top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Mariners bat vs Troy Melton RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 3 of 4 (75%) · 0.25 runs/1st 4 starts
Pitcher vs MarinersHasn't faced the Mariners
Mariners vs RHP scored in 28 of 115 (24%) · 0.46 runs/1st 115 games
Mariners top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 8 mph across the field · 62°F, Cloudy
MLB game-time report: “8 mph, L To R”
Plate umpire Alex Tosi
With this umpire run in the 1st in 48 of 93 (52%) · league 49% 93 games
Per 1st inning 0.84 BB+HBP (lg 0.82) · 2.06 K (lg 2.00) · 1.20 runs (lg 1.04)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel+110-140
BetMGM+125-160
Caesars+115-145
betonlineag+125-167

Market's NRFI chance: 57% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.