FirstInningRuns.com

4 games · times Eastern · stats are before today's games

Seattle Mariners at Detroit Tigers

3:08 PM ETComerica Park · Detroit, MIFinal
Top 1st Mariners bat vs Casey Mize RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 22 of 29 (76%) · 0.24 runs/1st 29 starts
Pitcher vs Mariners scoreless 2 of 2 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 2 starts
Mariners vs RHP scored in 28 of 117 (24%) · 0.45 runs/1st 117 games
Mariners top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Tigers bat vs Bryce Miller RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 14 of 18 (78%) · 0.33 runs/1st 18 starts
Pitcher vs Tigers scoreless 3 of 3 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 3 starts
Tigers vs RHP scored in 31 of 126 (25%) · 0.52 runs/1st 126 games
Tigers top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 8 mph across the field · 62°F, Sunny
MLB game-time report: “8 mph, L To R”
Plate umpire Chris Guccione
With this umpire run in the 1st in 36 of 80 (45%) · league 49% 80 games
Per 1st inning 0.94 BB+HBP (lg 0.82) · 1.80 K (lg 2.00) · 1.18 runs (lg 1.04)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel-111-115
BetMGM-110-115
Caesars-115-115
betonlineag+108-143

Market's NRFI chance: 51% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs

5:08 PM ETWrigley Field · Chicago, ILFinal
Top 1st Brewers bat vs Jameson Taillon RHP1 run
Pitcher, this season scoreless 20 of 24 (83%) · 0.17 runs/1st 24 starts
Pitcher vs Brewers scoreless 6 of 9 (67%) · 0.67 runs/1st 9 starts
Brewers vs RHP scored in 28 of 115 (24%) · 0.50 runs/1st 115 games
Brewers top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Cubs bat vs Quinn Priester RHP4 runs
Pitcher, this season scoreless 17 of 24 (71%) · 0.38 runs/1st 24 starts
Pitcher vs Cubs scoreless 2 of 2 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 2 starts
Cubs vs RHP scored in 40 of 124 (32%) · 0.60 runs/1st 124 games
Cubs top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 10 mph blowing in (−7 mph from center) · 61°F, Partly Cloudy
MLB game-time report: “10 mph, In From RF”
Plate umpire Will Little
With this umpire run in the 1st in 44 of 78 (56%) · league 49% 78 games
Per 1st inning 1.05 BB+HBP (lg 0.82) · 2.32 K (lg 2.00) · 1.38 runs (lg 1.04)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel+114-146
BetMGM+120-155
Caesars+140-170
betonlineag+125-167

Market's NRFI chance: 58% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees

7:08 PM ETYankee Stadium · Bronx, NYFinal
Top 1st Blue Jays bat vs Cam Schlittler RHP1 run
Pitcher, this season scoreless 9 of 15 (60%) · 0.67 runs/1st 15 starts
Pitcher vs Blue Jays scoreless 0 of 2 (0%) · 2.00 runs/1st 2 starts
Blue Jays vs RHP scored in 39 of 123 (32%) · 0.57 runs/1st 123 games
Blue Jays top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Yankees bat vs Louis Varland RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 1 of 1 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 1 start
Pitcher vs Yankees scoreless 0 of 1 (0%) · 2.00 runs/1st 1 start
Yankees vs RHP scored in 52 of 130 (40%) · 0.71 runs/1st 130 games
Yankees top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 12 mph blowing in (−9 mph from center) · 66°F, Clear
MLB game-time report: “12 mph, In From LF”
Plate umpire Tony Randazzo
With this umpire run in the 1st in 42 of 78 (54%) · league 49% 78 games
Per 1st inning 0.72 BB+HBP (lg 0.82) · 2.01 K (lg 2.00) · 0.95 runs (lg 1.04)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel-115-111
BetMGM-102-125
Caesars-115-115
betonlineag-115-115

Market's NRFI chance: 50% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Dodgers

9:08 PM ETUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium · Los Angeles, CAFinal
Top 1st Phillies bat vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 22 of 31 (71%) · 0.48 runs/1st 31 starts
Pitcher vs Phillies scoreless 0 of 1 (0%) · 1.00 runs/1st 1 start
Phillies vs RHP scored in 37 of 115 (32%) · 0.64 runs/1st 115 games
Phillies top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Dodgers bat vs Aaron Nola RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 11 of 17 (65%) · 0.88 runs/1st 17 starts
Pitcher vs Dodgers scoreless 5 of 5 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 5 starts
Dodgers vs RHP scored in 42 of 117 (36%) · 0.69 runs/1st 117 games
Dodgers top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind calm (4 mph) · 69°F, Clear
MLB game-time report: “4 mph, Calm”
Plate umpire Nic Lentz
With this umpire run in the 1st in 43 of 91 (47%) · league 49% 91 games
Per 1st inning 1.04 BB+HBP (lg 0.82) · 2.00 K (lg 2.00) · 0.90 runs (lg 1.04)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel+100-128
BetMGM+100-130
Caesars-105-125
betonlineag+105-139

Market's NRFI chance: 53% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.