First Inning Runs · Sep 13, 2026

Colorado Rockies at Detroit Tigers

12:10 PM ETComerica Park · Detroit, MIFinal

Top 1st Rockies bat vs Jackson Jobe RHP1 run

Pitcher, this season scoreless 2 of 6 (33%) · 0.67 runs/1st 6 starts

Pitcher vs Rockies scoreless 0 of 1 (0%) · 2.00 runs/1st 1 start

Rockies vs RHP scored in 30 of 100 (30%) · 0.46 runs/1st 100 games

Rockies top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Bot 1st Tigers bat vs Gabriel Hughes RHP2 runs

Pitcher, this season scoreless 5 of 11 (45%) · 1.09 runs/1st 11 starts

Pitcher vs TigersHasn't faced the Tigers

Tigers vs RHP scored in 35 of 102 (34%) · 0.69 runs/1st 102 games

Tigers top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Wind 9 mph blowing out (+9 mph toward center) · 78°F, Partly Cloudy

MLB game-time report: “9 mph, Out To CF”

Plate umpire James Jean

With this umpire run in the 1st in 32 of 52 (62%) · league 49% 52 games

Per 1st inning 0.62 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 1.88 K (lg 2.01) · 1.25 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runs	YRFI	NRFI
FanDuel	-111	-115
BetMGM	-120	-105
Caesars	-110	-120
betonlineag	-112	-118
BetRivers	-130	-103

Market's NRFI chance: 50% (margin removed, average of 5 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Los Angeles Angels at Washington Nationals

1:35 PM ETNationals Park · Washington, DCFinal

Top 1st Angels bat vs Riley Cornelio RHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 1 of 1 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 1 start

Pitcher vs AngelsHasn't faced the Angels

Angels vs RHP scored in 34 of 103 (33%) · 0.55 runs/1st 103 games

Angels top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Bot 1st Nationals bat vs Grayson Rodriguez RHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 11 of 17 (65%) · 0.88 runs/1st 17 starts

Pitcher vs Nationals scoreless 1 of 1 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 1 start

Nationals vs RHP scored in 32 of 105 (30%) · 0.60 runs/1st 105 games

Nationals top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Wind 8 mph blowing out (+6 mph toward center) · 84°F, Partly Cloudy

MLB game-time report: “8 mph, Out To RF”

Plate umpire Todd Tichenor

With this umpire run in the 1st in 56 of 119 (47%) · league 49% 119 games

Per 1st inning 0.70 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 1.91 K (lg 2.01) · 0.87 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runs	YRFI	NRFI
FanDuel	-120	-106
BetMGM	-125	-102
Caesars	-120	-110
betonlineag	-130	-102

Market's NRFI chance: 48% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

New York Mets at New York Yankees

1:35 PM ETYankee Stadium · Bronx, NYFinal

Top 1st Mets bat vs Cam Schlittler RHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 26 of 30 (87%) · 0.30 runs/1st 30 starts

Pitcher vs Mets scoreless 1 of 1 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 1 start

Mets vs RHP scored in 32 of 106 (30%) · 0.60 runs/1st 106 games

Mets top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Bot 1st Yankees bat vs Christian Scott RHP1 run

Pitcher, this season scoreless 16 of 21 (76%) · 0.38 runs/1st 21 starts

Pitcher vs YankeesHasn't faced the Yankees

Yankees vs RHP scored in 24 of 96 (25%) · 0.48 runs/1st 96 games

Yankees top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Wind 5 mph blowing in (−4 mph from center) · 72°F, Rain

MLB game-time report: “5 mph, In From LF”

Plate umpire Willie Traynor

With this umpire run in the 1st in 20 of 46 (43%) · league 49% 46 games

Per 1st inning 0.83 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 1.91 K (lg 2.01) · 1.09 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runs	YRFI	NRFI
FanDuel	+102	-130
BetMGM	+110	-140
Caesars	+110	-140
betonlineag	-110	-120

Market's NRFI chance: 54% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves

1:35 PM ETTruist Park · Atlanta, GAFinal

Top 1st Phillies bat vs Grant Holmes RHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 23 of 27 (85%) · 0.33 runs/1st 27 starts

Pitcher vs Phillies scoreless 3 of 4 (75%) · 0.50 runs/1st 4 starts

Phillies vs RHP scored in 29 of 97 (30%) · 0.61 runs/1st 97 games

Phillies top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Bot 1st Braves bat vs Andrew Painter RHP1 run

Pitcher, this season scoreless 13 of 20 (65%) · 1.00 runs/1st 20 starts

Pitcher vs Braves scoreless 2 of 2 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 2 starts

Braves vs RHP scored in 31 of 95 (33%) · 0.53 runs/1st 95 games

Braves top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Wind 8 mph blowing out (+6 mph toward center) · 88°F, Partly Cloudy

MLB game-time report: “8 mph, Out To LF”

Plate umpire Charlie Ramos

With this umpire run in the 1st in 43 of 112 (38%) · league 49% 112 games

Per 1st inning 0.88 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 2.00 K (lg 2.01) · 1.01 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runs	YRFI	NRFI
FanDuel	-150	+118
BetMGM	-145	+110
Caesars	-140	+110
betonlineag	-135	+102

Market's NRFI chance: 45% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays

1:37 PM ETRogers Centre · Toronto, ONFinal

Top 1st Orioles bat vs Dylan Cease RHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 18 of 27 (67%) · 0.37 runs/1st 27 starts

Pitcher vs Orioles scoreless 2 of 3 (67%) · 1.33 runs/1st 3 starts

Orioles vs RHP scored in 30 of 101 (30%) · 0.58 runs/1st 101 games

Orioles top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Bot 1st Blue Jays bat vs Trevor Rogers LHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 24 of 27 (89%) · 0.15 runs/1st 27 starts

Pitcher vs Blue Jays scoreless 2 of 3 (67%) · 0.33 runs/1st 3 starts

Blue Jays vs LHP scored in 8 of 43 (19%) · 0.30 runs/1st 43 games

Blue Jays top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Wind 6 mph across the field · 78°F, Partly Cloudy

MLB game-time report: “6 mph, R To L”

Plate umpire Scott Barry

With this umpire run in the 1st in 35 of 88 (40%) · league 49% 88 games

Per 1st inning 0.83 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 1.70 K (lg 2.01) · 0.99 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runs	YRFI	NRFI
FanDuel	+124	-158
BetMGM	+115	-150
Caesars	+130	-160
betonlineag	+117	-156
BetRivers	+112	-150

Market's NRFI chance: 57% (margin removed, average of 5 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Houston Astros at Tampa Bay Rays

1:40 PM ETTropicana Field · St. Petersburg, FLFinal

Top 1st Astros bat vs Freddy Peralta RHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 18 of 29 (62%) · 0.48 runs/1st 29 starts

Pitcher vs Astros scoreless 1 of 1 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 1 start

Astros vs RHP scored in 39 of 111 (35%) · 0.63 runs/1st 111 games

Astros top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Bot 1st Rays bat vs Hayden Wesneski RHP3 runs

Pitcher, this season scoreless 7 of 8 (88%) · 0.38 runs/1st 8 starts

Pitcher vs RaysHasn't faced the Rays

Rays vs RHP scored in 32 of 107 (30%) · 0.46 runs/1st 107 games

Rays top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Wind Dome: no wind

Plate umpire Bruce Dreckman

With this umpire run in the 1st in 55 of 107 (51%) · league 49% 107 games

Per 1st inning 0.88 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 2.07 K (lg 2.01) · 1.10 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runs	YRFI	NRFI
FanDuel	-113	-113
BetMGM	-102	-125
Caesars	-105	-125
betonlineag	-110	-120
BetRivers	-108	-124

Market's NRFI chance: 51% (margin removed, average of 5 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Los Angeles Dodgers at Miami Marlins

1:40 PM ETloanDepot park · Miami, FLFinal

Top 1st Dodgers bat vs Eury Pérez RHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 18 of 26 (69%) · 0.65 runs/1st 26 starts

Pitcher vs Dodgers scoreless 1 of 1 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 1 start

Dodgers vs RHP scored in 31 of 99 (31%) · 0.59 runs/1st 99 games

Dodgers top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Bot 1st Marlins bat vs Emmet Sheehan RHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 12 of 21 (57%) · 0.76 runs/1st 21 starts

Pitcher vs MarlinsHasn't faced the Marlins

Marlins vs RHP scored in 30 of 107 (28%) · 0.49 runs/1st 107 games

Marlins top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Wind Roof closed: no wind · 72°F

MLB game-time report: “0 mph, None”

Plate umpire Brock Ballou

With this umpire run in the 1st in 41 of 71 (58%) · league 49% 71 games

Per 1st inning 0.99 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 2.18 K (lg 2.01) · 1.37 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runs	YRFI	NRFI
FanDuel	+110	-140
BetMGM	+100	-130
Caesars	-105	-125
betonlineag	-102	-130

Market's NRFI chance: 53% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Cleveland Guardians at Minnesota Twins

2:10 PM ETTarget Field · Minneapolis, MNFinal

Top 1st Guardians bat vs Joe Ryan RHP1 run

Pitcher, this season scoreless 16 of 24 (67%) · 0.58 runs/1st 24 starts

Pitcher vs Guardians scoreless 4 of 8 (50%) · 0.88 runs/1st 8 starts

Guardians vs RHP scored in 28 of 98 (29%) · 0.53 runs/1st 98 games

Guardians top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Bot 1st Twins bat vs Tanner Bibee RHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 23 of 30 (77%) · 0.37 runs/1st 30 starts

Pitcher vs Twins scoreless 8 of 11 (73%) · 0.36 runs/1st 11 starts

Twins vs RHP scored in 38 of 102 (37%) · 0.56 runs/1st 102 games

Twins top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Wind 7 mph blowing out (+5 mph toward center) · 69°F, Partly Cloudy

MLB game-time report: “7 mph, Out To RF”

Plate umpire Sean Barber

With this umpire run in the 1st in 54 of 115 (47%) · league 49% 115 games

Per 1st inning 0.83 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 1.85 K (lg 2.01) · 1.28 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runs	YRFI	NRFI
FanDuel	+104	-132
BetMGM	-102	-125
Caesars	+100	-130
betonlineag	+102	-135

Market's NRFI chance: 53% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers

2:10 PM ETAmerican Family Field · Milwaukee, WIFinal

Top 1st Reds bat vs Robert Gasser LHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 11 of 17 (65%) · 0.35 runs/1st 17 starts

Pitcher vs Reds scoreless 1 of 2 (50%) · 0.50 runs/1st 2 starts

Reds vs LHP scored in 6 of 37 (16%) · 0.27 runs/1st 37 games

Reds top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Bot 1st Brewers bat vs Chase Burns RHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 23 of 27 (85%) · 0.33 runs/1st 27 starts

Pitcher vs Brewers scoreless 1 of 1 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 1 start

Brewers vs RHP scored in 28 of 102 (27%) · 0.59 runs/1st 102 games

Brewers top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Wind Roof closed: no wind · 72°F

MLB game-time report: “0 mph, None”

Plate umpire Doug Eddings

With this umpire run in the 1st in 52 of 130 (40%) · league 49% 130 games

Per 1st inning 0.68 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 2.02 K (lg 2.01) · 0.88 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runs	YRFI	NRFI
FanDuel	-108	-118
BetMGM	-102	-125
Caesars	+110	-140
betonlineag	-106	-125
BetRivers	-106	-125

Market's NRFI chance: 52% (margin removed, average of 5 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Chicago White Sox at St. Louis Cardinals

2:15 PM ETBusch Stadium · St. Louis, MOFinal

Top 1st White Sox bat vs Michael McGreevy RHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 21 of 28 (75%) · 0.43 runs/1st 28 starts

Pitcher vs White Sox scoreless 1 of 1 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 1 start

White Sox vs RHP scored in 32 of 105 (30%) · 0.66 runs/1st 105 games

White Sox top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Bot 1st Cardinals bat vs David Sandlin RHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 1 of 3 (33%) · 0.67 runs/1st 3 starts

Pitcher vs CardinalsHasn't faced the Cardinals

Cardinals vs RHP scored in 27 of 103 (26%) · 0.49 runs/1st 103 games

Cardinals top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Wind 6 mph blowing out (+4 mph toward center) · 85°F, Partly Cloudy

MLB game-time report: “6 mph, Out To RF”

Plate umpire Mike Estabrook

With this umpire run in the 1st in 60 of 118 (51%) · league 49% 118 games

Per 1st inning 0.94 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 2.19 K (lg 2.01) · 1.16 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runs	YRFI	NRFI
FanDuel	-108	-118
BetMGM	-118	-110
Caesars	-110	-120
betonlineag	+102	-135

Market's NRFI chance: 51% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago Cubs

2:20 PM ETWrigley Field · Chicago, ILFinal

Top 1st Pirates bat vs Matthew Boyd LHP1 run

Pitcher, this season scoreless 15 of 19 (79%) · 0.53 runs/1st 19 starts

Pitcher vs Pirates scoreless 2 of 5 (40%) · 1.00 runs/1st 5 starts

Pirates vs LHP scored in 10 of 47 (21%) · 0.43 runs/1st 47 games

Pirates top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Bot 1st Cubs bat vs Bubba Chandler RHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 20 of 27 (74%) · 0.48 runs/1st 27 starts

Pitcher vs Cubs scoreless 1 of 2 (50%) · 1.00 runs/1st 2 starts

Cubs vs RHP scored in 28 of 106 (26%) · 0.52 runs/1st 106 games

Cubs top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Wind 10 mph blowing in (−7 mph from center) · 71°F, Cloudy

MLB game-time report: “10 mph, In From LF”

Plate umpire Ryan Wills

With this umpire run in the 1st in 56 of 119 (47%) · league 49% 119 games

Per 1st inning 0.81 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 2.04 K (lg 2.01) · 1.08 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runs	YRFI	NRFI
FanDuel	+110	-140
BetMGM	+110	-145
Caesars	+110	-140
betonlineag	+114	-152
BetRivers	-109	-122

Market's NRFI chance: 55% (margin removed, average of 5 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Kansas City Royals at Boston Red Sox

3:05 PM ETFenway Park · Boston, MAFinal

Top 1st Royals bat vs Payton Tolle LHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 16 of 24 (67%) · 0.38 runs/1st 24 starts

Pitcher vs RoyalsHasn't faced the Royals

Royals vs LHP scored in 14 of 43 (33%) · 0.49 runs/1st 43 games

Royals top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Bot 1st Red Sox bat vs Noah Cameron LHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 22 of 27 (81%) · 0.26 runs/1st 27 starts

Pitcher vs Red SoxHasn't faced the Red Sox

Red Sox vs LHP scored in 10 of 35 (29%) · 0.51 runs/1st 35 games

Red Sox top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Wind calm (2 mph) · 67°F, Cloudy

MLB game-time report: “2 mph, In From RF”

Plate umpire Roberto Ortiz

With this umpire run in the 1st in 61 of 113 (54%) · league 49% 113 games

Per 1st inning 0.64 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 1.96 K (lg 2.01) · 1.04 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runs	YRFI	NRFI
FanDuel	+126	-162
BetMGM	+115	-150
Caesars	+115	-145
betonlineag	-103	-128
BetRivers	-106	-125

Market's NRFI chance: 55% (margin removed, average of 5 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Seattle Mariners at Athletics

4:05 PM ETSutter Health Park · Sacramento, CAFinal

Top 1st Mariners bat vs Jacob Lopez LHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 17 of 21 (81%) · 0.29 runs/1st 21 starts

Pitcher vs Mariners scoreless 1 of 2 (50%) · 1.00 runs/1st 2 starts

Mariners vs LHP scored in 16 of 49 (33%) · 0.45 runs/1st 49 games

Mariners top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Bot 1st Athletics bat vs Bryce Miller RHP2 runs

Pitcher, this season scoreless 13 of 18 (72%) · 0.39 runs/1st 18 starts

Pitcher vs Athletics scoreless 5 of 6 (83%) · 0.17 runs/1st 6 starts

Athletics vs RHP scored in 26 of 95 (27%) · 0.62 runs/1st 95 games

Athletics top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Wind 7 mph across the field · 75°F, Sunny

MLB game-time report: “7 mph, L To R”

Plate umpire Andy Fletcher

With this umpire run in the 1st in 58 of 115 (50%) · league 49% 115 games

Per 1st inning 0.98 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 1.92 K (lg 2.01) · 1.18 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runs	YRFI	NRFI
FanDuel	-115	-111
BetMGM	-118	-110
Caesars	-115	-115
betonlineag	-122	-109

Market's NRFI chance: 49% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Texas Rangers at Arizona Diamondbacks

4:10 PM ETChase Field · Phoenix, AZFinal

Top 1st Rangers bat vs Eduardo Rodriguez LHP2 runs

Pitcher, this season scoreless 17 of 29 (59%) · 0.69 runs/1st 29 starts

Pitcher vs RangersHasn't faced the Rangers

Rangers vs LHP scored in 10 of 43 (23%) · 0.37 runs/1st 43 games

Rangers top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Bot 1st Diamondbacks bat vs Cal Quantrill RHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 11 of 13 (85%) · 0.31 runs/1st 13 starts

Pitcher vs Diamondbacks scoreless 1 of 3 (33%) · 1.33 runs/1st 3 starts

Diamondbacks vs RHP scored in 32 of 109 (29%) · 0.43 runs/1st 109 games

Diamondbacks top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Wind Roof closed: no wind · 77°F

MLB game-time report: “0 mph, None”

Plate umpire Bill Miller

With this umpire run in the 1st in 62 of 125 (50%) · league 49% 125 games

Per 1st inning 0.62 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 2.18 K (lg 2.01) · 0.94 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runs	YRFI	NRFI
FanDuel	-111	-115
BetMGM	-110	-118
Caesars	-110	-120
betonlineag	-115	-115

Market's NRFI chance: 51% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants

7:20 PM ETOracle Park · San Francisco, CAFinal

Top 1st Padres bat vs Logan Webb RHP2 runs

Pitcher, this season scoreless 21 of 26 (81%) · 0.46 runs/1st 26 starts

Pitcher vs Padres scoreless 5 of 10 (50%) · 1.00 runs/1st 10 starts

Padres vs RHP scored in 23 of 108 (21%) · 0.37 runs/1st 108 games

Padres top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Bot 1st Giants bat vs Nick Pivetta RHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 4 of 5 (80%) · 0.80 runs/1st 5 starts

Pitcher vs Giants scoreless 4 of 5 (80%) · 0.20 runs/1st 5 starts

Giants vs RHP scored in 27 of 105 (26%) · 0.40 runs/1st 105 games

Giants top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Wind 19 mph blowing out (+19 mph toward center) · 68°F, Sunny

MLB game-time report: “19 mph, Out To CF”

Plate umpire Junior Valentine

With this umpire run in the 1st in 49 of 107 (46%) · league 49% 107 games

Per 1st inning 0.72 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 2.03 K (lg 2.01) · 0.78 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runs	YRFI	NRFI
FanDuel	+110	-140
BetMGM	+110	-140
Caesars	+105	-135
betonlineag	+120	-161

Market's NRFI chance: 55% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.