First Inning Runs · Sep 20, 2026

Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets

1:10 PM ETCiti Field · Flushing, NYFinal

Top 1st Phillies bat vs Jonah Tong RHP2 runs

Pitcher, this season scoreless 2 of 2 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 2 starts

Pitcher vs PhilliesHasn't faced the Phillies

Phillies vs RHP scored in 29 of 100 (29%) · 0.59 runs/1st 100 games

Phillies top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Bot 1st Mets bat vs Cristopher Sánchez LHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 24 of 31 (77%) · 0.55 runs/1st 31 starts

Pitcher vs Mets scoreless 7 of 10 (70%) · 0.40 runs/1st 10 starts

Mets vs LHP scored in 13 of 43 (30%) · 0.44 runs/1st 43 games

Mets top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Wind 8 mph blowing out (+6 mph toward center) · 68°F, Drizzle

MLB game-time report: “8 mph, Out To LF”

Plate umpire Tyler Jones

With this umpire run in the 1st in 10 of 27 (37%) · league 49% 27 games

Per 1st inning 0.78 BB+HBP (lg 0.84) · 1.93 K (lg 2.02) · 0.74 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runs	YRFI	NRFI
FanDuel	+102	-130
BetMGM	+110	-140
Caesars	+105	-130
betonlineag	+102	-135
BetRivers	-103	-130

Market's NRFI chance: 54% (margin removed, average of 5 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Kansas City Royals at Pittsburgh Pirates

1:35 PM ETPNC Park · Pittsburgh, PAFinal

Top 1st Royals bat vs Lake Bachar RHP1 run

Pitcher, this season scoreless 8 of 10 (80%) · 0.20 runs/1st 10 starts

Pitcher vs RoyalsHasn't faced the Royals

Royals vs RHP scored in 35 of 111 (32%) · 0.59 runs/1st 111 games

Royals top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Bot 1st Pirates bat vs Michael Wacha RHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 23 of 30 (77%) · 0.37 runs/1st 30 starts

Pitcher vs Pirates scoreless 1 of 1 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 1 start

Pirates vs RHP scored in 37 of 105 (35%) · 0.61 runs/1st 105 games

Pirates top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Wind 7 mph blowing out (+7 mph toward center) · 72°F, Partly Cloudy

MLB game-time report: “7 mph, Out To CF”

Plate umpire Brian Walsh

With this umpire run in the 1st in 50 of 106 (47%) · league 49% 106 games

Per 1st inning 0.81 BB+HBP (lg 0.84) · 1.99 K (lg 2.02) · 0.97 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runs	YRFI	NRFI
FanDuel	-108	-118
BetMGM	-110	-115
Caesars	-109	-114
betonlineag	-106	-125
BetRivers	-115	-115

Market's NRFI chance: 51% (margin removed, average of 5 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays

1:40 PM ETTropicana Field · St. Petersburg, FLFinal

Top 1st Red Sox bat vs Griffin Jax RHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 15 of 21 (71%) · 0.48 runs/1st 21 starts

Pitcher vs Red Sox scoreless 2 of 2 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 2 starts

Red Sox vs RHP scored in 27 of 116 (23%) · 0.41 runs/1st 116 games

Red Sox top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Bot 1st Rays bat vs Patrick Sandoval LHP4 runs

Pitcher, this season scoreless 10 of 12 (83%) · 0.25 runs/1st 12 starts

Pitcher vs Rays scoreless 4 of 5 (80%) · 0.40 runs/1st 5 starts

Rays vs LHP scored in 16 of 44 (36%) · 0.59 runs/1st 44 games

Rays top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Wind Dome: no wind

Plate umpire Adam Beck

With this umpire run in the 1st in 58 of 120 (48%) · league 49% 120 games

Per 1st inning 1.02 BB+HBP (lg 0.84) · 2.01 K (lg 2.02) · 1.13 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runs	YRFI	NRFI
FanDuel	+100	-128
BetMGM	+105	-135
Caesars	+103	-127
betonlineag	-110	-120

Market's NRFI chance: 53% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Athletics at Cleveland Guardians

1:40 PM ETProgressive Field · Cleveland, OHFinal

Top 1st Athletics bat vs Gavin Williams RHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 22 of 30 (73%) · 0.50 runs/1st 30 starts

Pitcher vs Athletics scoreless 2 of 2 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 2 starts

Athletics vs RHP scored in 29 of 101 (29%) · 0.65 runs/1st 101 games

Athletics top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Bot 1st Guardians bat vs Jack Perkins RHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 9 of 15 (60%) · 1.20 runs/1st 15 starts

Pitcher vs GuardiansHasn't faced the Guardians

Guardians vs RHP scored in 29 of 100 (29%) · 0.53 runs/1st 100 games

Guardians top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Wind 12 mph blowing in (−12 mph from center) · 68°F, Cloudy

MLB game-time report: “12 mph, In From CF”

Plate umpire Stu Scheurwater

With this umpire run in the 1st in 66 of 121 (55%) · league 49% 121 games

Per 1st inning 0.88 BB+HBP (lg 0.84) · 1.89 K (lg 2.02) · 1.05 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runs	YRFI	NRFI
FanDuel	+112	-142
BetMGM	+110	-145
Caesars	+112	-139
betonlineag	+110	-147

Market's NRFI chance: 55% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds

1:40 PM ETGreat American Ball Park · Cincinnati, OHFinal

Top 1st Cubs bat vs Rhett Lowder RHP1 run

Pitcher, this season scoreless 16 of 24 (67%) · 0.58 runs/1st 24 starts

Pitcher vs Cubs scoreless 2 of 3 (67%) · 0.33 runs/1st 3 starts

Cubs vs RHP scored in 29 of 110 (26%) · 0.51 runs/1st 110 games

Cubs top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Bot 1st Reds bat vs David Peterson LHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 10 of 21 (48%) · 0.81 runs/1st 21 starts

Pitcher vs Reds scoreless 3 of 6 (50%) · 0.67 runs/1st 6 starts

Reds vs LHP scored in 6 of 42 (14%) · 0.24 runs/1st 42 games

Reds top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Wind 6 mph across the field · 86°F, Partly Cloudy

MLB game-time report: “6 mph, R To L”

Plate umpire D.J. Reyburn

With this umpire run in the 1st in 58 of 120 (48%) · league 49% 120 games

Per 1st inning 0.82 BB+HBP (lg 0.84) · 2.10 K (lg 2.02) · 1.06 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runs	YRFI	NRFI
FanDuel	-148	+116
BetMGM	-130	+100
Caesars	-137	+110
betonlineag	-149	+112
BetRivers	-157	+118

Market's NRFI chance: 45% (margin removed, average of 5 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Atlanta Braves at Houston Astros

2:10 PM ETDaikin Park · Houston, TXFinal

Top 1st Braves bat vs Hunter Brown RHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 15 of 18 (83%) · 0.22 runs/1st 18 starts

Pitcher vs Braves scoreless 2 of 3 (67%) · 1.33 runs/1st 3 starts

Braves vs RHP scored in 32 of 99 (32%) · 0.52 runs/1st 99 games

Braves top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Bot 1st Astros bat vs Martín Pérez LHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 18 of 25 (72%) · 0.52 runs/1st 25 starts

Pitcher vs Astros scoreless 2 of 2 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 2 starts

Astros vs LHP scored in 11 of 39 (28%) · 0.38 runs/1st 39 games

Astros top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Wind Roof closed: no wind · 73°F

MLB game-time report: “0 mph, None”

Plate umpire Edwin Moscoso

With this umpire run in the 1st in 64 of 125 (51%) · league 49% 125 games

Per 1st inning 0.98 BB+HBP (lg 0.84) · 2.00 K (lg 2.02) · 1.17 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runs	YRFI	NRFI
FanDuel	-113	-113
BetMGM	-102	-125
Caesars	-106	-118
betonlineag	-115	-115

Market's NRFI chance: 51% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Detroit Tigers at Chicago White Sox

2:10 PM ETRate Field · Chicago, ILFinal

Top 1st Tigers bat vs Davis Martin RHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 20 of 26 (77%) · 0.65 runs/1st 26 starts

Pitcher vs Tigers scoreless 2 of 4 (50%) · 1.25 runs/1st 4 starts

Tigers vs RHP scored in 38 of 109 (35%) · 0.68 runs/1st 109 games

Tigers top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Bot 1st White Sox bat vs Troy Melton RHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 11 of 19 (58%) · 0.47 runs/1st 19 starts

Pitcher vs White Sox scoreless 2 of 4 (50%) · 0.50 runs/1st 4 starts

White Sox vs RHP scored in 33 of 108 (31%) · 0.65 runs/1st 108 games

White Sox top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Wind 10 mph across the field · 65°F, Rain

MLB game-time report: “10 mph, L To R”

Plate umpire Nate Tomlinson

With this umpire run in the 1st in 62 of 119 (52%) · league 49% 119 games

Per 1st inning 0.84 BB+HBP (lg 0.84) · 2.07 K (lg 2.02) · 1.12 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runs	YRFI	NRFI
FanDuel	-104	-122
BetMGM	-105	-120
Caesars	-102	-124
betonlineag	-106	-125

Market's NRFI chance: 52% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Washington Nationals at St. Louis Cardinals

2:15 PM ETBusch Stadium · St. Louis, MOFinal

Top 1st Nationals bat vs Quinn Mathews LHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 5 of 7 (71%) · 0.57 runs/1st 7 starts

Pitcher vs NationalsHasn't faced the Nationals

Nationals vs LHP scored in 14 of 46 (30%) · 0.67 runs/1st 46 games

Nationals top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Bot 1st Cardinals bat vs Jake Irvin RHP1 run

Pitcher, this season scoreless 12 of 19 (63%) · 0.84 runs/1st 19 starts

Pitcher vs Cardinals scoreless 3 of 3 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 3 starts

Cardinals vs RHP scored in 28 of 108 (26%) · 0.47 runs/1st 108 games

Cardinals top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Wind calm (1 mph) · 81°F, Partly Cloudy

MLB game-time report: “1 mph, Out To LF”

Plate umpire Mark Ripperger

With this umpire run in the 1st in 70 of 126 (56%) · league 49% 126 games

Per 1st inning 0.75 BB+HBP (lg 0.84) · 1.89 K (lg 2.02) · 1.25 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runs	YRFI	NRFI
FanDuel	-122	-104
BetMGM	-118	-110
Caesars	-120	-106
betonlineag	-139	+105
BetRivers	-127	-105

Market's NRFI chance: 48% (margin removed, average of 5 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Toronto Blue Jays at Texas Rangers

2:35 PM ETGlobe Life Field · Arlington, TXFinal

Top 1st Blue Jays bat vs Jacob deGrom RHP1 run

Pitcher, this season scoreless 17 of 29 (59%) · 0.93 runs/1st 29 starts

Pitcher vs Blue Jays scoreless 1 of 2 (50%) · 0.50 runs/1st 2 starts

Blue Jays vs RHP scored in 29 of 111 (26%) · 0.46 runs/1st 111 games

Blue Jays top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Bot 1st Rangers bat vs Spencer Miles RHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 7 of 7 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 7 starts

Pitcher vs RangersHasn't faced the Rangers

Rangers vs RHP scored in 34 of 109 (31%) · 0.56 runs/1st 109 games

Rangers top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Wind Roof closed: no wind · 74°F

MLB game-time report: “0 mph, None”

Plate umpire James Jean

With this umpire run in the 1st in 33 of 54 (61%) · league 49% 54 games

Per 1st inning 0.63 BB+HBP (lg 0.84) · 1.91 K (lg 2.02) · 1.26 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runs	YRFI	NRFI
FanDuel	+112	-142
BetMGM	+110	-140
Caesars	+114	-141
betonlineag	+102	-135
BetRivers	-103	-132

Market's NRFI chance: 55% (margin removed, average of 5 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Seattle Mariners at Colorado Rockies

3:10 PM ETCoors Field · Denver, COFinal5,190 ft

Top 1st Mariners bat vs Tomoyuki Sugano RHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 15 of 27 (56%) · 0.81 runs/1st 27 starts

Pitcher vs Mariners scoreless 2 of 2 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 2 starts

Mariners vs RHP scored in 31 of 102 (30%) · 0.56 runs/1st 102 games

Mariners top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Bot 1st Rockies bat vs Kade Anderson LHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 3 of 5 (60%) · 0.60 runs/1st 5 starts

Pitcher vs RockiesHasn't faced the Rockies

Rockies vs LHP scored in 16 of 49 (33%) · 0.53 runs/1st 49 games

Rockies top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Wind 9 mph blowing in (−9 mph from center) · 71°F, Sunny

MLB game-time report: “9 mph, In From CF”

Plate umpire Edwin Jimenez

With this umpire run in the 1st in 34 of 82 (41%) · league 49% 82 games

Per 1st inning 0.79 BB+HBP (lg 0.84) · 2.00 K (lg 2.02) · 0.88 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runs	YRFI	NRFI
FanDuel	-136	+106
BetMGM	-145	+110
Caesars	-139	+112
betonlineag	-143	+108

Market's NRFI chance: 45% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Minnesota Twins at Los Angeles Angels

4:07 PM ETAngel Stadium · Anaheim, CAFinal

Top 1st Twins bat vs Ryan Johnson RHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 13 of 17 (76%) · 0.59 runs/1st 17 starts

Pitcher vs Twins scoreless 1 of 1 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 1 start

Twins vs RHP scored in 39 of 106 (37%) · 0.56 runs/1st 106 games

Twins top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Bot 1st Angels bat vs Dean Kremer RHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 9 of 15 (60%) · 0.87 runs/1st 15 starts

Pitcher vs Angels scoreless 2 of 3 (67%) · 0.33 runs/1st 3 starts

Angels vs RHP scored in 36 of 108 (33%) · 0.56 runs/1st 108 games

Angels top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Wind 4 mph across the field · 80°F, Sunny

MLB game-time report: “4 mph, R To L”

Plate umpire Chris Segal

With this umpire run in the 1st in 58 of 119 (49%) · league 49% 119 games

Per 1st inning 0.79 BB+HBP (lg 0.84) · 1.98 K (lg 2.02) · 1.00 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runs	YRFI	NRFI
FanDuel	-128	-102
BetMGM	-105	-120
Caesars	-106	-117
betonlineag	-110	-120

Market's NRFI chance: 50% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Miami Marlins at San Diego Padres

4:10 PM ETPetco Park · San Diego, CAFinal

Top 1st Marlins bat vs Walker Buehler RHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 24 of 30 (80%) · 0.40 runs/1st 30 starts

Pitcher vs Marlins scoreless 2 of 3 (67%) · 0.67 runs/1st 3 starts

Marlins vs RHP scored in 30 of 113 (27%) · 0.46 runs/1st 113 games

Marlins top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Bot 1st Padres bat vs Sandy Alcantara RHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 27 of 32 (84%) · 0.38 runs/1st 32 starts

Pitcher vs Padres scoreless 3 of 4 (75%) · 0.25 runs/1st 4 starts

Padres vs RHP scored in 26 of 114 (23%) · 0.39 runs/1st 114 games

Padres top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Wind 9 mph across the field · 76°F, Partly Cloudy

MLB game-time report: “9 mph, L To R”

Plate umpire Nick Mahrley

With this umpire run in the 1st in 57 of 113 (50%) · league 49% 113 games

Per 1st inning 0.86 BB+HBP (lg 0.84) · 2.00 K (lg 2.02) · 1.06 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runs	YRFI	NRFI
FanDuel	-115	-113
BetMGM	-102	-125
Caesars	-104	-120
betonlineag	-102	-130
BetRivers	-122	-109

Market's NRFI chance: 51% (margin removed, average of 5 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers

4:10 PM ETUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium · Los Angeles, CAFinal

Top 1st Giants bat vs Jack Dreyer LHP1 run

Pitcher, this season scoreless 1 of 1 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 1 start

Pitcher vs GiantsHasn't faced the Giants

Giants vs LHP scored in 16 of 47 (34%) · 0.51 runs/1st 47 games

Giants top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Bot 1st Dodgers bat vs Matt Wilkinson LHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 3 of 4 (75%) · 0.75 runs/1st 4 starts

Pitcher vs DodgersHasn't faced the Dodgers

Dodgers vs LHP scored in 15 of 52 (29%) · 0.46 runs/1st 52 games

Dodgers top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Wind 5 mph blowing out (+5 mph toward center) · 79°F, Partly Cloudy

MLB game-time report: “5 mph, Out To CF”

Plate umpire Brennan Miller

With this umpire run in the 1st in 60 of 117 (51%) · league 49% 117 games

Per 1st inning 0.78 BB+HBP (lg 0.84) · 2.05 K (lg 2.02) · 0.91 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runs	YRFI	NRFI
FanDuel	-108	-118
BetMGM	-110	-118
Caesars	-106	-120
betonlineag	-108	-123

Market's NRFI chance: 51% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

New York Yankees at Arizona Diamondbacks

4:10 PM ETChase Field · Phoenix, AZFinal

Top 1st Yankees bat vs Corbin Burnes RHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 2 of 2 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 2 starts

Pitcher vs Yankees scoreless 4 of 4 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 4 starts

Yankees vs RHP scored in 26 of 101 (26%) · 0.49 runs/1st 101 games

Yankees top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Bot 1st Diamondbacks bat vs Will Warren RHP1 run

Pitcher, this season scoreless 20 of 28 (71%) · 0.43 runs/1st 28 starts

Pitcher vs Diamondbacks scoreless 1 of 1 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 1 start

Diamondbacks vs RHP scored in 33 of 115 (29%) · 0.42 runs/1st 115 games

Diamondbacks top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Wind Roof closed: no wind · 73°F

MLB game-time report: “0 mph, None”

Plate umpire Cory Blaser

With this umpire run in the 1st in 58 of 110 (53%) · league 49% 110 games

Per 1st inning 0.75 BB+HBP (lg 0.84) · 2.12 K (lg 2.02) · 0.96 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runs	YRFI	NRFI
FanDuel	+100	-128
BetMGM	+100	-125
Caesars	-102	-124
betonlineag	-102	-130
BetRivers	-114	-117

Market's NRFI chance: 52% (margin removed, average of 5 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Milwaukee Brewers at Baltimore Orioles

7:20 PM ETOriole Park at Camden Yards · Baltimore, MDFinal

Top 1st Brewers bat vs Brandon Young RHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 18 of 26 (69%) · 0.58 runs/1st 26 starts

Pitcher vs BrewersHasn't faced the Brewers

Brewers vs RHP scored in 28 of 106 (26%) · 0.57 runs/1st 106 games

Brewers top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Bot 1st Orioles bat vs Jacob Misiorowski RHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 22 of 28 (79%) · 0.36 runs/1st 28 starts

Pitcher vs OriolesHasn't faced the Orioles

Orioles vs RHP scored in 31 of 105 (30%) · 0.57 runs/1st 105 games

Orioles top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Wind 6 mph blowing out (+4 mph toward center) · 81°F, Cloudy

MLB game-time report: “6 mph, Out To RF”

Plate umpire Alan Porter

With this umpire run in the 1st in 66 of 122 (54%) · league 49% 122 games

Per 1st inning 0.85 BB+HBP (lg 0.84) · 2.05 K (lg 2.02) · 1.20 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runs	YRFI	NRFI
FanDuel	+104	-132
BetMGM	+115	-150
Caesars	+112	-139
betonlineag	+105	-139
BetRivers	+107	-143

Market's NRFI chance: 55% (margin removed, average of 5 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.