FirstInningRuns.com

4 games · times Eastern · stats are before today's games

Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves

2:00 PM ETTruist Park · Atlanta, GAFinal
Top 1st Phillies bat vs Tyler Mahle RHP1 run
Pitcher, this season scoreless 16 of 27 (59%) · 0.70 runs/1st 27 starts
Pitcher vs Phillies scoreless 2 of 4 (50%) · 0.75 runs/1st 4 starts
Phillies vs RHP scored in 31 of 106 (29%) · 0.58 runs/1st 106 games
Phillies top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Braves bat vs Cristopher Sánchez LHP1 run
Pitcher, this season scoreless 25 of 33 (76%) · 0.55 runs/1st 33 starts
Pitcher vs Braves scoreless 6 of 8 (75%) · 0.38 runs/1st 8 starts
Braves vs LHP scored in 15 of 59 (25%) · 0.37 runs/1st 59 games
Braves top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 4 mph across the field · 83°F, Partly Cloudy
MLB game-time report: “4 mph, L To R”
Plate umpire Adam Beck
With this umpire run in the 1st in 59 of 121 (49%) · league 49% 121 games
Per 1st inning 1.03 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 2.02 K (lg 2.02) · 1.16 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel+104-132
BetMGM+120-155
Caesars+111-136
betonlineag+125-167
BetRivers+100-132

Market's NRFI chance: 55% (margin removed, average of 5 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Chicago White Sox at Houston Astros

5:00 PM ETDaikin Park · Houston, TXFinal
Top 1st White Sox bat vs Hunter Brown RHP4 runs
Pitcher, this season scoreless 17 of 20 (85%) · 0.20 runs/1st 20 starts
Pitcher vs White Sox scoreless 4 of 6 (67%) · 0.67 runs/1st 6 starts
White Sox vs RHP scored in 36 of 113 (32%) · 0.67 runs/1st 113 games
White Sox top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Astros bat vs Sean Burke RHP1 run
Pitcher, this season scoreless 20 of 27 (74%) · 0.56 runs/1st 27 starts
Pitcher vs Astros scoreless 2 of 3 (67%) · 1.00 runs/1st 3 starts
Astros vs RHP scored in 44 of 121 (36%) · 0.62 runs/1st 121 games
Astros top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind Roof closed: no wind · 73°F
MLB game-time report: “0 mph, None”
Plate umpire Alex Tosi
With this umpire run in the 1st in 64 of 124 (52%) · league 49% 124 games
Per 1st inning 0.78 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 2.01 K (lg 2.02) · 1.18 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel+104-132
BetMGM+105-135
Caesars+108-136
betonlineag+115-154
BetRivers+100-132

Market's NRFI chance: 54% (margin removed, average of 5 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees

8:00 PM ETYankee Stadium · Bronx, NYFinal
Top 1st Red Sox bat vs Max Fried LHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 16 of 20 (80%) · 0.35 runs/1st 20 starts
Pitcher vs Red Sox scoreless 6 of 7 (86%) · 0.14 runs/1st 7 starts
Red Sox vs LHP scored in 13 of 43 (30%) · 0.51 runs/1st 43 games
Red Sox top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Yankees bat vs Sonny Gray RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 19 of 29 (66%) · 0.38 runs/1st 29 starts
Pitcher vs Yankees scoreless 2 of 4 (50%) · 0.75 runs/1st 4 starts
Yankees vs RHP scored in 27 of 106 (25%) · 0.47 runs/1st 106 games
Yankees top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 5 mph across the field · 68°F, Cloudy
MLB game-time report: “5 mph, Varies”
Plate umpire Scott Barry
With this umpire run in the 1st in 37 of 91 (41%) · league 49% 91 games
Per 1st inning 0.85 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 1.75 K (lg 2.02) · 1.00 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel+116-148
BetMGM+125-160
Caesars+121-152
betonlineag+130-175
BetRivers+118-159

Market's NRFI chance: 58% (margin removed, average of 5 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres

10:00 PM ETPetco Park · San Diego, CAFinal
Top 1st Cubs bat vs Nick Pivetta RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 7 of 8 (88%) · 0.50 runs/1st 8 starts
Pitcher vs Cubs scoreless 3 of 3 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 3 starts
Cubs vs RHP scored in 31 of 117 (26%) · 0.50 runs/1st 117 games
Cubs top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Padres bat vs Kevin Gausman RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 22 of 32 (69%) · 0.72 runs/1st 32 starts
Pitcher vs Padres scoreless 2 of 2 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 2 starts
Padres vs RHP scored in 27 of 121 (22%) · 0.38 runs/1st 121 games
Padres top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 6 mph across the field · 71°F, Partly Cloudy
MLB game-time report: “6 mph, L To R”
Plate umpire Erich Bacchus
With this umpire run in the 1st in 61 of 117 (52%) · league 49% 117 games
Per 1st inning 0.88 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 2.00 K (lg 2.02) · 1.08 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel-104-122
BetMGM+110-140
Caesars+106-132
betonlineag+105-139

Market's NRFI chance: 54% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.