FirstInningRuns.com

4 games · times Eastern · stats are before today's games

Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians

1:00 PM ETProgressive Field · Cleveland, OHFinal
Top 1st White Sox bat vs Parker Messick LHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 27 of 32 (84%) · 0.16 runs/1st 32 starts
Pitcher vs White Sox scoreless 3 of 5 (60%) · 0.40 runs/1st 5 starts
White Sox vs LHP scored in 18 of 50 (36%) · 0.64 runs/1st 50 games
White Sox top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Guardians bat vs Hagen Smith LHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 2 of 2 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 2 starts
Pitcher vs GuardiansHasn't faced the Guardians
Guardians vs LHP scored in 17 of 59 (29%) · 0.68 runs/1st 59 games
Guardians top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 9 mph across the field · 63°F, Partly Cloudy
MLB game-time report: “9 mph, R To L”
Plate umpire Cory Blaser
With this umpire run in the 1st in 60 of 112 (54%) · league 49% 112 games
Per 1st inning 0.75 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 2.09 K (lg 2.02) · 0.96 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel+138-180
BetMGM+118-150
Caesars+126-154
betonlineag+140-189

Market's NRFI chance: 59% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers

4:00 PM ETUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium · Los Angeles, CAFinal
Top 1st Braves bat vs Tarik Skubal LHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 18 of 26 (69%) · 0.42 runs/1st 26 starts
Pitcher vs Braves scoreless 1 of 2 (50%) · 1.00 runs/1st 2 starts
Braves vs LHP scored in 16 of 60 (27%) · 0.38 runs/1st 60 games
Braves top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Dodgers bat vs Dylan Dodd LHPScoreless
Pitcher, this seasonNo 1st innings yet this season
Pitcher vs DodgersHasn't faced the Dodgers
Dodgers vs LHP scored in 15 of 55 (27%) · 0.44 runs/1st 55 games
Dodgers top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind calm (2 mph) · 100°F, Sunny
MLB game-time report: “2 mph, Varies”
Plate umpire Roberto Ortiz
With this umpire run in the 1st in 61 of 115 (53%) · league 49% 115 games
Per 1st inning 0.64 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 1.99 K (lg 2.02) · 1.03 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel-108-118
BetMGM-110-115
Caesars+100-125
betonlineag-102-130

Market's NRFI chance: 52% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays

6:30 PM ETTropicana Field · St. Petersburg, FLFinal
Top 1st Yankees bat vs Drew Rasmussen RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 26 of 30 (87%) · 0.30 runs/1st 30 starts
Pitcher vs Yankees scoreless 7 of 9 (78%) · 0.33 runs/1st 9 starts
Yankees vs RHP scored in 27 of 107 (25%) · 0.47 runs/1st 107 games
Yankees top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Rays bat vs Gerrit Cole RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 17 of 22 (77%) · 0.32 runs/1st 22 starts
Pitcher vs Rays scoreless 6 of 8 (75%) · 0.38 runs/1st 8 starts
Rays vs RHP scored in 34 of 114 (30%) · 0.48 runs/1st 114 games
Rays top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind Dome: no wind
Plate umpire Shane Livensparger
With this umpire run in the 1st in 54 of 96 (56%) · league 49% 96 games
Per 1st inning 0.95 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 1.85 K (lg 2.02) · 1.22 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel+106-136
BetMGM+115-150
Caesars+116-143
betonlineag+124-167

Market's NRFI chance: 56% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers

8:30 PM ETAmerican Family Field · Milwaukee, WIFinal
Top 1st Padres bat vs Jacob Misiorowski RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 24 of 30 (80%) · 0.33 runs/1st 30 starts
Pitcher vs Padres scoreless 1 of 1 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 1 start
Padres vs RHP scored in 27 of 122 (22%) · 0.38 runs/1st 122 games
Padres top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Brewers bat vs Robbie Ray LHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 24 of 30 (80%) · 0.37 runs/1st 30 starts
Pitcher vs Brewers scoreless 3 of 3 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 3 starts
Brewers vs LHP scored in 19 of 50 (38%) · 0.72 runs/1st 50 games
Brewers top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind Roof closed: no wind · 69°F
MLB game-time report: “0 mph, None”
Plate umpire Nick Mahrley
With this umpire run in the 1st in 57 of 115 (50%) · league 49% 115 games
Per 1st inning 0.85 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 1.97 K (lg 2.02) · 1.04 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel+106-136
BetMGM+118-150
Caesars+118-150
betonlineag+129-172

Market's NRFI chance: 57% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.