FirstInningRuns.com

16 games · times Eastern · stats are before today's games

Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds

1:10 PM ETGreat American Ball Park · Cincinnati, OHFinal
Top 1st Cubs bat vs Graham Ashcraft RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 20 of 25 (80%) · 0.24 runs/1st 25 starts
Pitcher vs Cubs scoreless 1 of 1 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 1 start
Cubs vs RHP scored in 24 of 90 (27%) · 0.52 runs/1st 90 games
Cubs top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Reds bat vs Jordan Wicks LHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 0 of 1 (0%) · 1.00 runs/1st 1 start
Pitcher vs RedsHasn't faced the Reds
Reds vs LHP scored in 14 of 39 (36%) · 0.67 runs/1st 39 games
Reds top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 3 mph across the field · 80°F, Sunny
MLB game-time report: “3 mph, Varies”
Plate umpire Andy Fletcher
With this umpire run in the 1st in 9 of 25 (36%) · league 50% 25 games
Per 1st inning 0.96 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 2.36 K (lg 2.02) · 0.60 runs (lg 1.06)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
barstool-120-110

Market's NRFI chance: 49% (margin removed, average of 1 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds

6:40 PM ETGreat American Ball Park · Cincinnati, OHFinal
Top 1st Cubs bat vs Lyon Richardson RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 1 of 2 (50%) · 2.00 runs/1st 2 starts
Pitcher vs CubsHasn't faced the Cubs
Cubs vs RHP scored in 24 of 90 (27%) · 0.52 runs/1st 90 games
Cubs top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Reds bat vs Jose Cuas RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 0 of 1 (0%) · 2.00 runs/1st 1 start
Pitcher vs RedsHasn't faced the Reds
Reds vs RHP scored in 27 of 96 (28%) · 0.46 runs/1st 96 games
Reds top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 6 mph across the field · 84°F, Clear
MLB game-time report: “6 mph, Varies”
Plate umpire Erich Bacchus
With this umpire run in the 1st in 12 of 26 (46%) · league 50% 26 games
Per 1st inning 1.00 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 1.77 K (lg 2.02) · 1.31 runs (lg 1.06)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st-inning lines usually post a few hours before first pitch.

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals

7:05 PM ETNationals Park · Washington, DCFinal
Top 1st Marlins bat vs Jake Irvin RHP1 run
Pitcher, this season scoreless 14 of 20 (70%) · 0.45 runs/1st 20 starts
Pitcher vs Marlins scoreless 2 of 2 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 2 starts
Marlins vs RHP scored in 20 of 102 (20%) · 0.37 runs/1st 102 games
Marlins top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Nationals bat vs Eury Pérez RHP1 run
Pitcher, this season scoreless 14 of 15 (93%) · 0.40 runs/1st 15 starts
Pitcher vs Nationals scoreless 2 of 2 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 2 starts
Nationals vs RHP scored in 26 of 86 (30%) · 0.58 runs/1st 86 games
Nationals top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 3 mph blowing out (+2 mph toward center) · 75°F, Clear
MLB game-time report: “3 mph, Out To LF”
Plate umpire Dan Iassogna
With this umpire run in the 1st in 11 of 26 (42%) · league 50% 26 games
Per 1st inning 0.81 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 2.08 K (lg 2.02) · 1.12 runs (lg 1.06)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
barstool+100-130

Market's NRFI chance: 53% (margin removed, average of 1 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians

7:10 PM ETProgressive Field · Cleveland, OHFinal
Top 1st Rays bat vs Cal Quantrill RHP1 run
Pitcher, this season scoreless 7 of 13 (54%) · 0.85 runs/1st 13 starts
Pitcher vs RaysHasn't faced the Rays
Rays vs RHP scored in 37 of 107 (35%) · 0.67 runs/1st 107 games
Rays top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Guardians bat vs Tyler Glasnow RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 14 of 15 (93%) · 0.27 runs/1st 15 starts
Pitcher vs GuardiansHasn't faced the Guardians
Guardians vs RHP scored in 24 of 85 (28%) · 0.47 runs/1st 85 games
Guardians top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 15 mph blowing in (−11 mph from center) · 73°F, Clear
MLB game-time report: “15 mph, In From RF”
Plate umpire Chris Segal
With this umpire run in the 1st in 10 of 24 (42%) · league 50% 24 games
Per 1st inning 0.88 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 1.88 K (lg 2.02) · 1.00 runs (lg 1.06)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
barstool+105-135
BetRivers+106-130
unibet_us+106-130

Market's NRFI chance: 54% (margin removed, average of 3 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Seattle Mariners at New York Mets

7:10 PM ETCiti Field · Flushing, NYFinal
Top 1st Mariners bat vs Kodai Senga RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 17 of 24 (71%) · 0.63 runs/1st 24 starts
Pitcher vs MarinersHasn't faced the Mariners
Mariners vs RHP scored in 30 of 101 (30%) · 0.55 runs/1st 101 games
Mariners top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Mets bat vs Logan Gilbert RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 15 of 26 (58%) · 0.81 runs/1st 26 starts
Pitcher vs MetsHasn't faced the Mets
Mets vs RHP scored in 19 of 92 (21%) · 0.34 runs/1st 92 games
Mets top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 6 mph blowing out (+4 mph toward center) · 72°F, Clear
MLB game-time report: “6 mph, Out To LF”
Plate umpire Vic Carapazza
With this umpire run in the 1st in 10 of 26 (38%) · league 50% 26 games
Per 1st inning 0.96 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 2.12 K (lg 2.02) · 0.58 runs (lg 1.06)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
barstool+105-135
BetRivers+102-127
unibet_us+102-127

Market's NRFI chance: 53% (margin removed, average of 3 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Minnesota Twins at Texas Rangers

8:05 PM ETGlobe Life Field · Arlington, TXFinal
Top 1st Twins bat vs Max Scherzer RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 16 of 24 (67%) · 0.63 runs/1st 24 starts
Pitcher vs Twins scoreless 1 of 1 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 1 start
Twins vs RHP scored in 30 of 102 (29%) · 0.59 runs/1st 102 games
Twins top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Rangers bat vs Joe Ryan RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 17 of 23 (74%) · 0.43 runs/1st 23 starts
Pitcher vs Rangers scoreless 1 of 1 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 1 start
Rangers vs RHP scored in 28 of 96 (29%) · 0.45 runs/1st 96 games
Rangers top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind Roof closed: no wind · 74°F
MLB game-time report: “0 mph, None”
Plate umpire Chris Guccione
With this umpire run in the 1st in 13 of 27 (48%) · league 50% 27 games
Per 1st inning 0.81 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 1.56 K (lg 2.02) · 1.41 runs (lg 1.06)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
barstool-105-125
BetRivers+102-127
unibet_us+102-127

Market's NRFI chance: 53% (margin removed, average of 3 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Detroit Tigers at Chicago White Sox

8:10 PM ETRate Field · Chicago, ILFinal
Top 1st Tigers bat vs Touki Toussaint RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 7 of 10 (70%) · 0.80 runs/1st 10 starts
Pitcher vs TigersHasn't faced the Tigers
Tigers vs RHP scored in 24 of 103 (23%) · 0.43 runs/1st 103 games
Tigers top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st White Sox bat vs Eduardo Rodriguez LHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 16 of 20 (80%) · 0.35 runs/1st 20 starts
Pitcher vs White Sox scoreless 1 of 1 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 1 start
White Sox vs LHP scored in 12 of 33 (36%) · 0.48 runs/1st 33 games
White Sox top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 8 mph blowing in (−6 mph from center) · 77°F, Clear
MLB game-time report: “8 mph, In From RF”
Plate umpire Lance Barksdale
With this umpire run in the 1st in 11 of 25 (44%) · league 50% 25 games
Per 1st inning 1.16 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 1.60 K (lg 2.02) · 0.76 runs (lg 1.06)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
barstool-105-125
BetRivers-114-109
unibet_us-114-109

Market's NRFI chance: 50% (margin removed, average of 3 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

New York Yankees at Houston Astros

8:10 PM ETDaikin Park · Houston, TXFinal
Top 1st Yankees bat vs Justin Verlander RHP3 runs
Pitcher, this season scoreless 13 of 21 (62%) · 0.62 runs/1st 21 starts
Pitcher vs Yankees scoreless 3 of 3 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 3 starts
Yankees vs RHP scored in 30 of 109 (28%) · 0.43 runs/1st 109 games
Yankees top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Astros bat vs Carlos Rodón LHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 6 of 8 (75%) · 0.50 runs/1st 8 starts
Pitcher vs Astros scoreless 1 of 1 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 1 start
Astros vs LHP scored in 16 of 41 (39%) · 0.61 runs/1st 41 games
Astros top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind Roof closed: no wind · 73°F
MLB game-time report: “0 mph, None”
Plate umpire Nic Lentz
With this umpire run in the 1st in 13 of 25 (52%) · league 50% 25 games
Per 1st inning 0.84 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 2.08 K (lg 2.02) · 0.80 runs (lg 1.06)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
barstool-115-115
BetRivers-106-118
unibet_us-106-118

Market's NRFI chance: 51% (margin removed, average of 3 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Boston Red Sox at Kansas City Royals

8:10 PM ETKauffman Stadium · Kansas City, MOFinal
Top 1st Red Sox bat vs Jordan Lyles RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 11 of 25 (44%) · 1.00 runs/1st 25 starts
Pitcher vs Red Sox scoreless 1 of 1 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 1 start
Red Sox vs RHP scored in 35 of 96 (36%) · 0.58 runs/1st 96 games
Red Sox top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Royals bat vs James Paxton LHP2 runs
Pitcher, this season scoreless 12 of 18 (67%) · 0.50 runs/1st 18 starts
Pitcher vs Royals scoreless 1 of 1 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 1 start
Royals vs LHP scored in 8 of 33 (24%) · 0.39 runs/1st 33 games
Royals top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 7 mph across the field · 87°F, Clear
MLB game-time report: “7 mph, R To L”
Plate umpire Sean Barber
With this umpire run in the 1st in 10 of 23 (43%) · league 50% 23 games
Per 1st inning 0.78 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 2.09 K (lg 2.02) · 1.30 runs (lg 1.06)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
barstool-130+100
BetRivers-143+115
unibet_us-143+115

Market's NRFI chance: 45% (margin removed, average of 3 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Philadelphia Phillies at Milwaukee Brewers

8:10 PM ETAmerican Family Field · Milwaukee, WIFinal
Top 1st Phillies bat vs Freddy Peralta RHP1 run
Pitcher, this season scoreless 21 of 25 (84%) · 0.36 runs/1st 25 starts
Pitcher vs PhilliesHasn't faced the Phillies
Phillies vs RHP scored in 26 of 90 (29%) · 0.62 runs/1st 90 games
Phillies top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Brewers bat vs Zack Wheeler RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 21 of 26 (81%) · 0.38 runs/1st 26 starts
Pitcher vs BrewersHasn't faced the Brewers
Brewers vs RHP scored in 33 of 95 (35%) · 0.62 runs/1st 95 games
Brewers top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 5 mph blowing in (−4 mph from center) · 77°F, Clear
MLB game-time report: “5 mph, In From RF”
Plate umpire John Tumpane
With this umpire run in the 1st in 13 of 23 (57%) · league 50% 23 games
Per 1st inning 0.91 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 2.13 K (lg 2.02) · 1.35 runs (lg 1.06)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
barstool+110-140
BetRivers+104-130
unibet_us+104-130

Market's NRFI chance: 54% (margin removed, average of 3 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals

8:15 PM ETBusch Stadium · St. Louis, MOFinal
Top 1st Pirates bat vs Dakota Hudson RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 6 of 6 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 6 starts
Pitcher vs PiratesHasn't faced the Pirates
Pirates vs RHP scored in 23 of 90 (26%) · 0.40 runs/1st 90 games
Pirates top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Cardinals bat vs Mitch Keller RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 16 of 27 (59%) · 0.63 runs/1st 27 starts
Pitcher vs Cardinals scoreless 0 of 1 (0%) · 1.00 runs/1st 1 start
Cardinals vs RHP scored in 35 of 99 (35%) · 0.61 runs/1st 99 games
Cardinals top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 7 mph blowing in (−5 mph from center) · 80°F, Clear
MLB game-time report: “7 mph, In From LF”
Plate umpire Jansen Visconti
With this umpire run in the 1st in 8 of 23 (35%) · league 50% 23 games
Per 1st inning 0.74 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 2.04 K (lg 2.02) · 0.61 runs (lg 1.06)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
barstool-110-120
BetRivers-108-115
unibet_us-108-115

Market's NRFI chance: 51% (margin removed, average of 3 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Toronto Blue Jays at Colorado Rockies

8:40 PM ETCoors Field · Denver, COFinal5,190 ft
Top 1st Blue Jays bat vs Chris Flexen RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 7 of 10 (70%) · 0.40 runs/1st 10 starts
Pitcher vs Blue JaysHasn't faced the Blue Jays
Blue Jays vs RHP scored in 24 of 106 (23%) · 0.41 runs/1st 106 games
Blue Jays top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Rockies bat vs Hyun Jin Ryu LHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 2 of 5 (40%) · 1.00 runs/1st 5 starts
Pitcher vs RockiesHasn't faced the Rockies
Rockies vs LHP scored in 10 of 41 (24%) · 0.39 runs/1st 41 games
Rockies top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 9 mph blowing out (+9 mph toward center) · 95°F, Clear
MLB game-time report: “9 mph, Out To CF”
Plate umpire Angel Hernandez
With this umpire run in the 1st in 3 of 5 (60%) · league 50% 5 games
Per 1st inning 0.20 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 1.60 K (lg 2.02) · 1.40 runs (lg 1.06)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
barstool-170+135

Market's NRFI chance: 40% (margin removed, average of 1 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Baltimore Orioles at Arizona Diamondbacks

9:40 PM ETChase Field · Phoenix, AZFinal
Top 1st Orioles bat vs Zach Davies RHP1 run
Pitcher, this season scoreless 8 of 13 (62%) · 1.23 runs/1st 13 starts
Pitcher vs OriolesHasn't faced the Orioles
Orioles vs RHP scored in 20 of 87 (23%) · 0.49 runs/1st 87 games
Orioles top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Diamondbacks bat vs Cole Irvin LHP2 runs
Pitcher, this season scoreless 8 of 11 (73%) · 0.27 runs/1st 11 starts
Pitcher vs DiamondbacksHasn't faced the Diamondbacks
Diamondbacks vs LHP scored in 14 of 41 (34%) · 0.49 runs/1st 41 games
Diamondbacks top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind Roof closed: no wind · 74°F
MLB game-time report: “0 mph, None”
Plate umpire Tom Hanahan
With this umpire run in the 1st in 6 of 11 (55%) · league 50% 11 games
Per 1st inning 0.45 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 2.09 K (lg 2.02) · 0.91 runs (lg 1.06)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
barstool-135+105
BetRivers-125+102
unibet_us-125+102

Market's NRFI chance: 47% (margin removed, average of 3 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Los Angeles Angels at Oakland Athletics

9:40 PM ETOakland ColiseumFinal
Top 1st Angels bat vs JP Sears LHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 16 of 26 (62%) · 0.62 runs/1st 26 starts
Pitcher vs Angels scoreless 1 of 1 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 1 start
Angels vs LHP scored in 8 of 34 (24%) · 0.65 runs/1st 34 games
Angels top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Athletics bat vs Patrick Sandoval LHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 15 of 23 (65%) · 0.61 runs/1st 23 starts
Pitcher vs Athletics scoreless 1 of 2 (50%) · 0.50 runs/1st 2 starts
Athletics vs LHP scored in 12 of 39 (31%) · 0.56 runs/1st 39 games
Athletics top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 14 mph blowing out (+10 mph toward center) · 65°F, Cloudy
MLB game-time report: “14 mph, Out To RF”
Plate umpire Chad Whitson
With this umpire run in the 1st in 13 of 21 (62%) · league 50% 21 games
Per 1st inning 0.76 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 2.29 K (lg 2.02) · 1.29 runs (lg 1.06)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
barstool+100-130
BetRivers-103-127
unibet_us-103-127

Market's NRFI chance: 53% (margin removed, average of 3 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres

9:40 PM ETPetco Park · San Diego, CAFinal
Top 1st Giants bat vs Michael Wacha RHP1 run
Pitcher, this season scoreless 15 of 18 (83%) · 0.33 runs/1st 18 starts
Pitcher vs Giants scoreless 1 of 1 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 1 start
Giants vs RHP scored in 28 of 97 (29%) · 0.47 runs/1st 97 games
Giants top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Padres bat vs Tristan Beck RHP3 runs
Pitcher, this season scoreless 1 of 1 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 1 start
Pitcher vs PadresHasn't faced the Padres
Padres vs RHP scored in 32 of 93 (34%) · 0.66 runs/1st 93 games
Padres top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 10 mph across the field · 72°F, Partly Cloudy
MLB game-time report: “10 mph, L To R”
Plate umpire Lance Barrett
With this umpire run in the 1st in 12 of 24 (50%) · league 50% 24 games
Per 1st inning 0.71 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 2.33 K (lg 2.02) · 1.04 runs (lg 1.06)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
barstool-120-110

Market's NRFI chance: 49% (margin removed, average of 1 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers

10:10 PM ETUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium · Los Angeles, CAFinal
Top 1st Braves bat vs Julio Urías LHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 10 of 20 (50%) · 1.05 runs/1st 20 starts
Pitcher vs BravesHasn't faced the Braves
Braves vs LHP scored in 10 of 26 (38%) · 0.46 runs/1st 26 games
Braves top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Dodgers bat vs Max Fried LHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 9 of 10 (90%) · 0.10 runs/1st 10 starts
Pitcher vs DodgersHasn't faced the Dodgers
Dodgers vs LHP scored in 17 of 40 (43%) · 0.78 runs/1st 40 games
Dodgers top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 7 mph across the field · 73°F, Cloudy
MLB game-time report: “7 mph, L To R”
Plate umpire Phil Cuzzi
With this umpire run in the 1st in 10 of 24 (42%) · league 50% 24 games
Per 1st inning 0.54 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 2.42 K (lg 2.02) · 1.17 runs (lg 1.06)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
barstool-105-125
BetRivers-114-109
unibet_us-114-109

Market's NRFI chance: 50% (margin removed, average of 3 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.