FirstInningRuns.com

15 games · times Eastern · stats are before today's games

Detroit Tigers at Baltimore Orioles

6:35 PM ETOriole Park at Camden Yards · Baltimore, MDFinal
Top 1st Tigers bat vs Cade Povich LHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 9 of 11 (82%) · 0.45 runs/1st 11 starts
Pitcher vs Tigers scoreless 2 of 2 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 2 starts
Tigers vs LHP scored in 4 of 16 (25%) · 0.56 runs/1st 16 games
Tigers top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Orioles bat vs Brant Hurter LHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 1 of 1 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 1 start
Pitcher vs OriolesHasn't faced the Orioles
Orioles vs LHP scored in 2 of 17 (12%) · 0.29 runs/1st 17 games
Orioles top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 7 mph blowing out (+5 mph toward center) · 81°F, Partly Cloudy
MLB game-time report: “7 mph, Out To RF”
Plate umpire Alex Tosi
With this umpire run in the 1st in 37 of 75 (49%) · league 49% 75 games
Per 1st inning 0.83 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 2.04 K (lg 1.99) · 1.17 runs (lg 1.04)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel-118-108
BetMGM-120-105
Caesars-105-125
betonlineag-115-115
BetRivers-125+102

Market's NRFI chance: 49% (margin removed, average of 5 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Miami Marlins at Pittsburgh Pirates

6:40 PM ETPNC Park · Pittsburgh, PAFinal
Top 1st Marlins bat vs Mitch Keller RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 9 of 13 (69%) · 0.38 runs/1st 13 starts
Pitcher vs Marlins scoreless 3 of 3 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 3 starts
Marlins vs RHP scored in 14 of 48 (29%) · 0.56 runs/1st 48 games
Marlins top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Pirates bat vs Sandy Alcantara RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 8 of 12 (67%) · 0.58 runs/1st 12 starts
Pitcher vs Pirates scoreless 1 of 1 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 1 start
Pirates vs RHP scored in 14 of 51 (27%) · 0.31 runs/1st 51 games
Pirates top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 12 mph blowing out (+12 mph toward center) · 74°F, Clear
MLB game-time report: “12 mph, Out To CF”
Plate umpire Jim Wolf
With this umpire run in the 1st in 34 of 66 (52%) · league 49% 66 games
Per 1st inning 0.82 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 2.08 K (lg 1.99) · 0.97 runs (lg 1.04)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel-111-115
BetMGM+100-130
Caesars-110-120
betonlineag-106-125
BetRivers-107-115

Market's NRFI chance: 51% (margin removed, average of 5 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Cincinnati Reds at Cleveland Guardians

6:40 PM ETProgressive Field · Cleveland, OHFinal
Top 1st Reds bat vs Slade Cecconi RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 4 of 4 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 4 starts
Pitcher vs Reds scoreless 4 of 4 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 4 starts
Reds vs RHP scored in 18 of 46 (39%) · 1.00 runs/1st 46 games
Reds top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Guardians bat vs Andrew Abbott LHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 10 of 10 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 10 starts
Pitcher vs Guardians scoreless 3 of 3 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 3 starts
Guardians vs LHP scored in 4 of 16 (25%) · 0.25 runs/1st 16 games
Guardians top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 7 mph across the field · 72°F, Cloudy
MLB game-time report: “7 mph, L To R”
Plate umpire Todd Tichenor
With this umpire run in the 1st in 35 of 73 (48%) · league 49% 73 games
Per 1st inning 0.62 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 1.81 K (lg 1.99) · 0.85 runs (lg 1.04)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel-115-111
BetMGM-110-115
Caesars+100-130
betonlineag+110-147

Market's NRFI chance: 52% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia Phillies

6:45 PM ETCitizens Bank Park · Philadelphia, PAFinal
Top 1st Cubs bat vs Mick Abel RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 2 of 2 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 2 starts
Pitcher vs CubsHasn't faced the Cubs
Cubs vs RHP scored in 12 of 47 (26%) · 0.51 runs/1st 47 games
Cubs top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Phillies bat vs Colin Rea RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 6 of 9 (67%) · 0.56 runs/1st 9 starts
Pitcher vs Phillies scoreless 2 of 3 (67%) · 0.33 runs/1st 3 starts
Phillies vs RHP scored in 14 of 45 (31%) · 0.82 runs/1st 45 games
Phillies top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 12 mph across the field · 77°F, Partly Cloudy
MLB game-time report: “12 mph, L To R”
Plate umpire Vic Carapazza
With this umpire run in the 1st in 35 of 80 (44%) · league 49% 80 games
Per 1st inning 0.88 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 2.00 K (lg 1.99) · 0.95 runs (lg 1.04)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel-138+108
BetMGM-130+100
Caesars-125-105
betonlineag-127-105

Market's NRFI chance: 47% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox

7:10 PM ETFenway Park · Boston, MAFinal
Top 1st Rays bat vs Lucas Giolito RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 3 of 7 (43%) · 1.29 runs/1st 7 starts
Pitcher vs Rays scoreless 1 of 2 (50%) · 0.50 runs/1st 2 starts
Rays vs RHP scored in 13 of 46 (28%) · 0.46 runs/1st 46 games
Rays top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Red Sox bat vs Ryan Pepiot RHP2 runs
Pitcher, this season scoreless 10 of 13 (77%) · 0.23 runs/1st 13 starts
Pitcher vs Red Sox scoreless 3 of 4 (75%) · 0.25 runs/1st 4 starts
Red Sox vs RHP scored in 16 of 52 (31%) · 0.67 runs/1st 52 games
Red Sox top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind calm (2 mph) · 59°F, Overcast
MLB game-time report: “2 mph, Out To CF”
Plate umpire Marvin Hudson
With this umpire run in the 1st in 43 of 71 (61%) · league 49% 71 games
Per 1st inning 0.86 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 2.13 K (lg 1.99) · 1.25 runs (lg 1.04)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel-120-106
BetMGM-110-115
betonlineag-125-106
BetRivers-103-122

Market's NRFI chance: 50% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Washington Nationals at New York Mets

7:10 PM ETCiti Field · Flushing, NYFinal
Top 1st Nationals bat vs Griffin Canning RHP2 runs
Pitcher, this season scoreless 10 of 12 (83%) · 0.25 runs/1st 12 starts
Pitcher vs Nationals scoreless 3 of 3 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 3 starts
Nationals vs RHP scored in 17 of 47 (36%) · 0.89 runs/1st 47 games
Nationals top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Mets bat vs MacKenzie Gore LHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 10 of 13 (77%) · 0.31 runs/1st 13 starts
Pitcher vs Mets scoreless 6 of 6 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 6 starts
Mets vs LHP scored in 4 of 16 (25%) · 0.50 runs/1st 16 games
Mets top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 7 mph blowing out (+5 mph toward center) · 73°F, Partly Cloudy
MLB game-time report: “7 mph, Out To LF”
Plate umpire David Rackley
With this umpire run in the 1st in 38 of 79 (48%) · league 49% 79 games
Per 1st inning 1.05 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 2.24 K (lg 1.99) · 1.11 runs (lg 1.04)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel+102-130
BetMGM+110-145
betonlineag+115-154
BetRivers+117-150

Market's NRFI chance: 55% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Texas Rangers at Minnesota Twins

7:40 PM ETTarget Field · Minneapolis, MNFinal
Top 1st Rangers bat vs Simeon Woods Richardson RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 5 of 7 (71%) · 0.29 runs/1st 7 starts
Pitcher vs Rangers scoreless 1 of 1 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 1 start
Rangers vs RHP scored in 11 of 50 (22%) · 0.42 runs/1st 50 games
Rangers top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Twins bat vs Tyler Mahle RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 11 of 13 (85%) · 0.15 runs/1st 13 starts
Pitcher vs Twins scoreless 0 of 1 (0%) · 3.00 runs/1st 1 start
Twins vs RHP scored in 16 of 56 (29%) · 0.38 runs/1st 56 games
Twins top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 7 mph blowing out (+5 mph toward center) · 81°F, Partly Cloudy
MLB game-time report: “7 mph, Out To LF”
Plate umpire James Hoye
With this umpire run in the 1st in 32 of 74 (43%) · league 49% 74 games
Per 1st inning 0.68 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 1.96 K (lg 1.99) · 0.96 runs (lg 1.04)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel-128+100
BetMGM-118-110
betonlineag-115-115
BetRivers-113-109

Market's NRFI chance: 49% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Atlanta Braves at Milwaukee Brewers

7:40 PM ETAmerican Family Field · Milwaukee, WIFinal
Top 1st Braves bat vs Quinn Priester RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 4 of 7 (57%) · 0.43 runs/1st 7 starts
Pitcher vs Braves scoreless 1 of 1 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 1 start
Braves vs RHP scored in 14 of 52 (27%) · 0.38 runs/1st 52 games
Braves top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Brewers bat vs Grant Holmes RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 10 of 12 (83%) · 0.33 runs/1st 12 starts
Pitcher vs Brewers scoreless 1 of 1 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 1 start
Brewers vs RHP scored in 10 of 45 (22%) · 0.44 runs/1st 45 games
Brewers top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 8 mph across the field · 69°F, Partly Cloudy
MLB game-time report: “8 mph, L To R”
Plate umpire Emil Jimenez
With this umpire run in the 1st in 33 of 72 (46%) · league 49% 72 games
Per 1st inning 0.82 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 1.96 K (lg 1.99) · 0.88 runs (lg 1.04)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel-111-115
BetMGM+100-130
betonlineag-115-115
BetRivers-105-120

Market's NRFI chance: 51% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

New York Yankees at Kansas City Royals

7:40 PM ETKauffman Stadium · Kansas City, MOFinal
Top 1st Yankees bat vs Noah Cameron LHP2 runs
Pitcher, this season scoreless 5 of 5 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 5 starts
Pitcher vs YankeesHasn't faced the Yankees
Yankees vs LHP scored in 6 of 14 (43%) · 0.79 runs/1st 14 games
Yankees top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Royals bat vs Max Fried LHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 11 of 13 (85%) · 0.15 runs/1st 13 starts
Pitcher vs Royals scoreless 2 of 2 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 2 starts
Royals vs LHP scored in 3 of 11 (27%) · 0.55 runs/1st 11 games
Royals top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 6 mph blowing out (+6 mph toward center) · 84°F, Clear
MLB game-time report: “6 mph, Out To CF”
Plate umpire Brian Walsh
With this umpire run in the 1st in 28 of 59 (47%) · league 49% 59 games
Per 1st inning 0.68 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 1.95 K (lg 1.99) · 1.03 runs (lg 1.04)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel-111-115
BetMGM-102-125
betonlineag+100-133

Market's NRFI chance: 52% (margin removed, average of 3 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Toronto Blue Jays at St. Louis Cardinals

7:45 PM ETBusch Stadium · St. Louis, MOFinal
Top 1st Blue Jays bat vs Miles Mikolas RHP3 runs
Pitcher, this season scoreless 8 of 12 (67%) · 0.50 runs/1st 12 starts
Pitcher vs Blue Jays scoreless 1 of 2 (50%) · 1.50 runs/1st 2 starts
Blue Jays vs RHP scored in 13 of 52 (25%) · 0.37 runs/1st 52 games
Blue Jays top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Cardinals bat vs Chris Bassitt RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 8 of 13 (62%) · 0.69 runs/1st 13 starts
Pitcher vs Cardinals scoreless 0 of 1 (0%) · 4.00 runs/1st 1 start
Cardinals vs RHP scored in 13 of 43 (30%) · 0.35 runs/1st 43 games
Cardinals top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 3 mph blowing out (+2 mph toward center) · 79°F, Clear
MLB game-time report: “3 mph, Out To RF”
Plate umpire Clint Vondrak
With this umpire run in the 1st in 41 of 75 (55%) · league 49% 75 games
Per 1st inning 0.88 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 2.09 K (lg 1.99) · 1.21 runs (lg 1.04)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel-113-113
BetMGM+100-130
betonlineag-112-118
BetRivers+102-127

Market's NRFI chance: 52% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Chicago White Sox at Houston Astros

8:10 PM ETDaikin Park · Houston, TXFinal
Top 1st White Sox bat vs Lance McCullers Jr. RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 4 of 6 (67%) · 1.83 runs/1st 6 starts
Pitcher vs White Sox scoreless 1 of 1 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 1 start
White Sox vs RHP scored in 16 of 51 (31%) · 0.55 runs/1st 51 games
White Sox top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Astros bat vs Shane Smith RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 10 of 12 (83%) · 0.42 runs/1st 12 starts
Pitcher vs AstrosHasn't faced the Astros
Astros vs RHP scored in 10 of 58 (17%) · 0.24 runs/1st 58 games
Astros top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind Roof closed: no wind · 73°F
MLB game-time report: “0 mph, None”
Plate umpire Jeremie Rehak
With this umpire run in the 1st in 33 of 68 (49%) · league 49% 68 games
Per 1st inning 0.94 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 1.93 K (lg 1.99) · 1.06 runs (lg 1.04)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel+102-130
BetMGM+110-140
betonlineag+105-139
BetRivers+108-134

Market's NRFI chance: 54% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

San Francisco Giants at Colorado Rockies

8:40 PM ETCoors Field · Denver, COFinal5,190 ft
Top 1st Giants bat vs Carson Palmquist LHP1 run
Pitcher, this season scoreless 2 of 4 (50%) · 0.75 runs/1st 4 starts
Pitcher vs GiantsHasn't faced the Giants
Giants vs LHP scored in 4 of 18 (22%) · 0.28 runs/1st 18 games
Giants top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Rockies bat vs Kyle Harrison LHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 1 of 3 (33%) · 1.33 runs/1st 3 starts
Pitcher vs Rockies scoreless 5 of 5 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 5 starts
Rockies vs LHP scored in 2 of 18 (11%) · 0.11 runs/1st 18 games
Rockies top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 5 mph blowing out (+5 mph toward center) · 84°F, Cloudy
MLB game-time report: “5 mph, Out To CF”
Plate umpire Adrian Johnson
With this umpire run in the 1st in 38 of 72 (53%) · league 49% 72 games
Per 1st inning 0.94 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 1.79 K (lg 1.99) · 1.50 runs (lg 1.04)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel-156+122
BetMGM-160+125
BetRivers-152+123

Market's NRFI chance: 42% (margin removed, average of 3 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Athletics at Los Angeles Angels

9:38 PM ETAngel Stadium · Anaheim, CAFinal
Top 1st Athletics bat vs José Soriano RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 9 of 13 (69%) · 0.69 runs/1st 13 starts
Pitcher vs Athletics scoreless 2 of 3 (67%) · 0.67 runs/1st 3 starts
Athletics vs RHP scored in 19 of 55 (35%) · 0.75 runs/1st 55 games
Athletics top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Angels bat vs Mitch Spence RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 1 of 1 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 1 start
Pitcher vs Angels scoreless 4 of 4 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 4 starts
Angels vs RHP scored in 19 of 56 (34%) · 0.68 runs/1st 56 games
Angels top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 9 mph blowing out (+9 mph toward center) · 73°F, Clear
MLB game-time report: “9 mph, Out To CF”
Plate umpire Andy Fletcher
With this umpire run in the 1st in 42 of 80 (53%) · league 49% 80 games
Per 1st inning 1.05 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 1.99 K (lg 1.99) · 1.30 runs (lg 1.04)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel-125-102
BetMGM-120-105
BetRivers-118-106

Market's NRFI chance: 48% (margin removed, average of 3 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Seattle Mariners at Arizona Diamondbacks

9:40 PM ETChase Field · Phoenix, AZFinal
Top 1st Mariners bat vs Brandon Pfaadt RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 10 of 13 (77%) · 1.08 runs/1st 13 starts
Pitcher vs Mariners scoreless 1 of 2 (50%) · 0.50 runs/1st 2 starts
Mariners vs RHP scored in 14 of 46 (30%) · 0.59 runs/1st 46 games
Mariners top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Diamondbacks bat vs Logan Evans RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 5 of 6 (83%) · 0.17 runs/1st 6 starts
Pitcher vs DiamondbacksHasn't faced the Diamondbacks
Diamondbacks vs RHP scored in 19 of 47 (40%) · 0.60 runs/1st 47 games
Diamondbacks top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind Roof closed: no wind · 78°F
MLB game-time report: “0 mph, None”
Plate umpire CB Bucknor
With this umpire run in the 1st in 33 of 65 (51%) · league 49% 65 games
Per 1st inning 0.72 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 2.09 K (lg 1.99) · 1.23 runs (lg 1.04)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel-136+106
BetMGM-135+105
betonlineag-120-110

Market's NRFI chance: 47% (margin removed, average of 3 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres

9:40 PM ETPetco Park · San Diego, CAFinal
Top 1st Dodgers bat vs Dylan Cease RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 9 of 13 (69%) · 0.69 runs/1st 13 starts
Pitcher vs Dodgers scoreless 3 of 5 (60%) · 0.40 runs/1st 5 starts
Dodgers vs RHP scored in 19 of 47 (40%) · 0.89 runs/1st 47 games
Dodgers top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Padres bat vs Lou Trivino III RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this seasonNo 1st innings yet this season
Pitcher vs PadresHasn't faced the Padres
Padres vs RHP scored in 15 of 44 (34%) · 0.64 runs/1st 44 games
Padres top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 6 mph across the field · 65°F, Cloudy
MLB game-time report: “6 mph, L To R”
Plate umpire Laz Diaz
With this umpire run in the 1st in 31 of 64 (48%) · league 49% 64 games
Per 1st inning 0.75 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 2.02 K (lg 1.99) · 0.91 runs (lg 1.04)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel-122-104
BetMGM-110-118
betonlineag+100-133
BetRivers-110-113

Market's NRFI chance: 51% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.