FirstInningRuns.com

15 games · times Eastern · stats are before today's games

San Diego Padres at Pittsburgh Pirates

12:35 PM ETPNC Park · Pittsburgh, PAFinal
Top 1st Padres bat vs Mitch Keller RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 2 of 2 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 2 starts
Pitcher vs Padres scoreless 3 of 4 (75%) · 0.75 runs/1st 4 starts
Padres vs RHP scored in 1 of 7 (14%) · 0.14 runs/1st 7 games
Padres top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Pirates bat vs Michael King RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 2 of 2 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 2 starts
Pitcher vs Pirates scoreless 1 of 2 (50%) · 1.00 runs/1st 2 starts
Pirates vs RHP scored in 3 of 8 (38%) · 0.63 runs/1st 8 games
Pirates top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 8 mph blowing in (−8 mph from center) · 46°F, Sunny
MLB game-time report: “8 mph, In From CF”
Plate umpire Nick Mahrley
With this umpire run in the 1st in 47 of 89 (53%) · league 49% 89 games
Per 1st inning 0.85 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 2.03 K (lg 2.00) · 1.03 runs (lg 1.04)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel+142-184
BetMGM+118-150
Caesars+120-150
betonlineag+143-192
Bovada+130-170

Market's NRFI chance: 59% (margin removed, average of 5 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians

1:10 PM ETProgressive Field · Cleveland, OHFinal
Top 1st Royals bat vs Joey Cantillo LHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 2 of 2 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 2 starts
Pitcher vs Royals scoreless 1 of 2 (50%) · 1.00 runs/1st 2 starts
Royals vs LHP scored in 0 of 2 (0%) · 0.00 runs/1st 2 games
Royals top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Guardians bat vs Cole Ragans LHP3 runs
Pitcher, this season scoreless 1 of 2 (50%) · 0.50 runs/1st 2 starts
Pitcher vs Guardians scoreless 3 of 4 (75%) · 0.25 runs/1st 4 starts
Guardians vs LHP scored in 0 of 2 (0%) · 0.00 runs/1st 2 games
Guardians top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 8 mph blowing out (+6 mph toward center) · 50°F, Sunny
MLB game-time report: “8 mph, Out To LF”
Plate umpire Dan Iassogna
With this umpire run in the 1st in 43 of 94 (46%) · league 49% 94 games
Per 1st inning 0.80 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 2.12 K (lg 2.00) · 0.97 runs (lg 1.04)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel+128-164
BetMGM+115-150
Caesars+130-160
betonlineag+143-192
Bovada+130-170

Market's NRFI chance: 59% (margin removed, average of 5 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Milwaukee Brewers at Boston Red Sox

1:35 PM ETFenway Park · Boston, MAFinal
Top 1st Brewers bat vs Sonny Gray RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 1 of 2 (50%) · 1.00 runs/1st 2 starts
Pitcher vs Brewers scoreless 6 of 7 (86%) · 0.43 runs/1st 7 starts
Brewers vs RHP scored in 2 of 7 (29%) · 0.71 runs/1st 7 games
Brewers top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Red Sox bat vs Shane Drohan LHPScoreless
Pitcher, this seasonNo 1st innings yet this season
Pitcher vs Red SoxHasn't faced the Red Sox
Red Sox vs LHP scored in 0 of 1 (0%) · 0.00 runs/1st 1 game
Red Sox top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 8 mph blowing in (−6 mph from center) · 43°F, Sunny
MLB game-time report: “8 mph, In From RF”
Plate umpire Brennan Miller
With this umpire run in the 1st in 40 of 90 (44%) · league 49% 90 games
Per 1st inning 0.74 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 2.06 K (lg 2.00) · 0.73 runs (lg 1.04)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel+128-162
BetMGM+118-155
Caesars+115-145
betonlineag+125-167
Bovada+115-150

Market's NRFI chance: 57% (margin removed, average of 5 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Baltimore Orioles at Chicago White Sox

2:10 PM ETRate Field · Chicago, ILFinal
Top 1st Orioles bat vs Sean Burke RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 0 of 1 (0%) · 3.00 runs/1st 1 start
Pitcher vs OriolesHasn't faced the Orioles
Orioles vs RHP scored in 1 of 11 (9%) · 0.09 runs/1st 11 games
Orioles top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st White Sox bat vs Kyle Bradish RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 2 of 2 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 2 starts
Pitcher vs White Sox scoreless 1 of 2 (50%) · 0.50 runs/1st 2 starts
White Sox vs RHP scored in 3 of 8 (38%) · 0.75 runs/1st 8 games
White Sox top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 18 mph blowing in (−13 mph from center) · 58°F, Partly Cloudy
MLB game-time report: “18 mph, In From RF”
Plate umpire Willie Traynor
With this umpire run in the 1st in 3 of 16 (19%) · league 49% 16 games
Per 1st inning 0.56 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 2.31 K (lg 2.00) · 0.50 runs (lg 1.04)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel+124-160
BetMGM+110-140
Caesars+110-140
betonlineag+119-159
Bovada+110-145

Market's NRFI chance: 56% (margin removed, average of 5 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Seattle Mariners at Texas Rangers

2:35 PM ETGlobe Life Field · Arlington, TXFinal
Top 1st Mariners bat vs MacKenzie Gore LHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 2 of 2 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 2 starts
Pitcher vs Mariners scoreless 1 of 2 (50%) · 0.50 runs/1st 2 starts
Mariners vs LHP scored in 0 of 4 (0%) · 0.00 runs/1st 4 games
Mariners top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Rangers bat vs Bryan Woo RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 2 of 2 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 2 starts
Pitcher vs Rangers scoreless 4 of 7 (57%) · 0.71 runs/1st 7 starts
Rangers vs RHP scored in 3 of 8 (38%) · 0.38 runs/1st 8 games
Rangers top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind Roof closed: no wind · 74°F
MLB game-time report: “0 mph, None”
Plate umpire Brock Ballou
With this umpire run in the 1st in 32 of 51 (63%) · league 49% 51 games
Per 1st inning 1.00 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 2.14 K (lg 2.00) · 1.63 runs (lg 1.04)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel+120-154
BetMGM+110-145
Caesars+110-140
betonlineag+135-182
Bovada+115-150

Market's NRFI chance: 57% (margin removed, average of 5 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Los Angeles Dodgers at Toronto Blue Jays

3:07 PM ETRogers Centre · Toronto, ONFinal
Top 1st Dodgers bat vs Dylan Cease RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 1 of 2 (50%) · 0.50 runs/1st 2 starts
Pitcher vs Dodgers scoreless 5 of 8 (63%) · 0.63 runs/1st 8 starts
Dodgers vs RHP scored in 2 of 8 (25%) · 0.50 runs/1st 8 games
Dodgers top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Blue Jays bat vs Shohei Ohtani RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 1 of 1 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 1 start
Pitcher vs Blue Jays scoreless 2 of 2 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 2 starts
Blue Jays vs RHP scored in 1 of 8 (13%) · 0.13 runs/1st 8 games
Blue Jays top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind Roof closed: no wind · 68°F
MLB game-time report: “0 mph, None”
Plate umpire Dan Bellino
With this umpire run in the 1st in 48 of 98 (49%) · league 49% 98 games
Per 1st inning 1.05 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 2.04 K (lg 2.00) · 1.27 runs (lg 1.04)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel+108-138
BetMGM+110-145
Caesars+105-135
betonlineag+125-167
Bovada+105-135

Market's NRFI chance: 55% (margin removed, average of 5 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Houston Astros at Colorado Rockies

3:10 PM ETCoors Field · Denver, COFinal5,190 ft
Top 1st Astros bat vs Michael Lorenzen RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 1 of 2 (50%) · 3.50 runs/1st 2 starts
Pitcher vs Astros scoreless 1 of 1 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 1 start
Astros vs RHP scored in 3 of 5 (60%) · 1.00 runs/1st 5 games
Astros top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Rockies bat vs Cristian Javier RHP1 run
Pitcher, this season scoreless 2 of 2 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 2 starts
Pitcher vs RockiesHasn't faced the Rockies
Rockies vs RHP scored in 2 of 10 (20%) · 0.60 runs/1st 10 games
Rockies top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 13 mph blowing in (−9 mph from center) · 71°F, Partly Cloudy
MLB game-time report: “13 mph, In From LF”
Plate umpire David Rackley
With this umpire run in the 1st in 47 of 101 (47%) · league 49% 101 games
Per 1st inning 1.02 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 2.24 K (lg 2.00) · 1.04 runs (lg 1.04)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel-162+126
BetMGM-150+118
Caesars-150+120
betonlineag-149+112

Market's NRFI chance: 43% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants

3:45 PM ETOracle Park · San Francisco, CAFinal
Top 1st Phillies bat vs Tyler Mahle RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 1 of 2 (50%) · 1.00 runs/1st 2 starts
Pitcher vs PhilliesHasn't faced the Phillies
Phillies vs RHP scored in 3 of 5 (60%) · 2.00 runs/1st 5 games
Phillies top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Giants bat vs Aaron Nola RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 1 of 2 (50%) · 0.50 runs/1st 2 starts
Pitcher vs Giants scoreless 1 of 3 (33%) · 1.67 runs/1st 3 starts
Giants vs RHP scored in 1 of 9 (11%) · 0.33 runs/1st 9 games
Giants top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 11 mph across the field · 63°F, Partly Cloudy
MLB game-time report: “11 mph, Varies”
Plate umpire Todd Tichenor
With this umpire run in the 1st in 44 of 93 (47%) · league 49% 93 games
Per 1st inning 0.63 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 1.88 K (lg 2.00) · 0.81 runs (lg 1.04)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel-113-113
BetMGM-105-120
Caesars-110-120
betonlineag-106-125

Market's NRFI chance: 51% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals

4:05 PM ETNationals Park · Washington, DCFinal
Top 1st Cardinals bat vs Miles Mikolas RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 2 of 2 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 2 starts
Pitcher vs CardinalsHasn't faced the Cardinals
Cardinals vs RHP scored in 3 of 9 (33%) · 0.56 runs/1st 9 games
Cardinals top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Nationals bat vs Michael McGreevy RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 2 of 2 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 2 starts
Pitcher vs NationalsHasn't faced the Nationals
Nationals vs RHP scored in 3 of 7 (43%) · 1.29 runs/1st 7 games
Nationals top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 6 mph blowing out (+4 mph toward center) · 52°F, Sunny
MLB game-time report: “6 mph, Out To LF”
Plate umpire Scott Barry
With this umpire run in the 1st in 26 of 64 (41%) · league 49% 64 games
Per 1st inning 0.81 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 1.66 K (lg 2.00) · 0.95 runs (lg 1.04)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel-106-120
BetMGM-110-118
Caesars-110-120
betonlineag-105-127
Bovada-115-115

Market's NRFI chance: 51% (margin removed, average of 5 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Angels

4:07 PM ETAngel Stadium · Anaheim, CAFinal
Top 1st Braves bat vs Reid Detmers LHP1 run
Pitcher, this season scoreless 2 of 2 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 2 starts
Pitcher vs BravesHasn't faced the Braves
Braves vs LHP scored in 2 of 4 (50%) · 1.00 runs/1st 4 games
Braves top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Angels bat vs Grant Holmes RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 2 of 2 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 2 starts
Pitcher vs Angels scoreless 1 of 1 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 1 start
Angels vs RHP scored in 4 of 10 (40%) · 0.50 runs/1st 10 games
Angels top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 4 mph blowing out (+4 mph toward center) · 74°F, Sunny
MLB game-time report: “4 mph, Out To CF”
Plate umpire Vic Carapazza
With this umpire run in the 1st in 50 of 102 (49%) · league 49% 102 games
Per 1st inning 0.84 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 1.99 K (lg 2.00) · 1.02 runs (lg 1.04)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel-106-120
BetMGM-110-118
Caesars-115-115
betonlineag+105-139
Bovada+110-145

Market's NRFI chance: 52% (margin removed, average of 5 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Arizona Diamondbacks at New York Mets

4:10 PM ETCiti Field · Flushing, NYFinal
Top 1st Diamondbacks bat vs David Peterson LHP1 run
Pitcher, this season scoreless 1 of 2 (50%) · 1.50 runs/1st 2 starts
Pitcher vs Diamondbacks scoreless 3 of 3 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 3 starts
Diamondbacks vs LHP scored in 2 of 2 (100%) · 1.00 runs/1st 2 games
Diamondbacks top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Mets bat vs Ryne Nelson RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 1 of 2 (50%) · 0.50 runs/1st 2 starts
Pitcher vs Mets scoreless 3 of 4 (75%) · 0.50 runs/1st 4 starts
Mets vs RHP scored in 4 of 9 (44%) · 1.00 runs/1st 9 games
Mets top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 6 mph blowing out (+4 mph toward center) · 48°F, Sunny
MLB game-time report: “6 mph, Out To LF”
Plate umpire Chris Segal
With this umpire run in the 1st in 46 of 94 (49%) · league 49% 94 games
Per 1st inning 0.78 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 2.02 K (lg 2.00) · 1.03 runs (lg 1.04)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel+104-132
BetMGM+105-135
Caesars+100-130
betonlineag-102-130
Bovada+100-130

Market's NRFI chance: 53% (margin removed, average of 5 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Chicago Cubs at Tampa Bay Rays

6:40 PM ETTropicana Field · St. Petersburg, FLFinal
Top 1st Cubs bat vs Joe Boyle RHP1 run
Pitcher, this season scoreless 1 of 2 (50%) · 1.00 runs/1st 2 starts
Pitcher vs CubsHasn't faced the Cubs
Cubs vs RHP scored in 1 of 7 (14%) · 0.43 runs/1st 7 games
Cubs top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Rays bat vs Colin Rea RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this seasonNo 1st innings yet this season
Pitcher vs Rays scoreless 2 of 2 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 2 starts
Rays vs RHP scored in 2 of 9 (22%) · 0.33 runs/1st 9 games
Rays top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind Dome: no wind
Plate umpire Chad Whitson
With this umpire run in the 1st in 36 of 73 (49%) · league 49% 73 games
Per 1st inning 0.71 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 1.97 K (lg 2.00) · 1.05 runs (lg 1.04)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel-106-120
BetMGM-110-115
Caesars-110-120
betonlineag-105-127

Market's NRFI chance: 51% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Cincinnati Reds at Miami Marlins

6:40 PM ETloanDepot park · Miami, FLFinal
Top 1st Reds bat vs Eury Pérez RHP2 runs
Pitcher, this season scoreless 1 of 2 (50%) · 1.00 runs/1st 2 starts
Pitcher vs Reds scoreless 2 of 3 (67%) · 0.33 runs/1st 3 starts
Reds vs RHP scored in 2 of 8 (25%) · 0.50 runs/1st 8 games
Reds top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Marlins bat vs Brady Singer RHP2 runs
Pitcher, this season scoreless 2 of 2 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 2 starts
Pitcher vs Marlins scoreless 2 of 3 (67%) · 0.67 runs/1st 3 starts
Marlins vs RHP scored in 2 of 5 (40%) · 1.00 runs/1st 5 games
Marlins top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind Roof closed: no wind · 72°F
MLB game-time report: “0 mph, None”
Plate umpire D.J. Reyburn
With this umpire run in the 1st in 46 of 95 (48%) · league 49% 95 games
Per 1st inning 0.83 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 2.01 K (lg 2.00) · 1.07 runs (lg 1.04)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel+114-146
BetMGM-102-125
Caesars+105-135
betonlineag+114-152
Bovada+120-160

Market's NRFI chance: 55% (margin removed, average of 5 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Athletics at New York Yankees

7:05 PM ETYankee Stadium · Bronx, NYFinal
Top 1st Athletics bat vs Will Warren RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 1 of 2 (50%) · 0.50 runs/1st 2 starts
Pitcher vs Athletics scoreless 2 of 2 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 2 starts
Athletics vs RHP scored in 0 of 7 (0%) · 0.00 runs/1st 7 games
Athletics top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Yankees bat vs Luis Severino RHP2 runs
Pitcher, this season scoreless 2 of 2 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 2 starts
Pitcher vs Yankees scoreless 2 of 2 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 2 starts
Yankees vs RHP scored in 4 of 9 (44%) · 0.89 runs/1st 9 games
Yankees top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 8 mph across the field · 44°F, Clear
MLB game-time report: “8 mph, R To L”
Plate umpire Carlos Torres
With this umpire run in the 1st in 45 of 95 (47%) · league 49% 95 games
Per 1st inning 0.89 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 1.82 K (lg 2.00) · 1.11 runs (lg 1.04)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel-104-122
BetMGM-102-125
Caesars-105-125
betonlineag-111-119
Bovada+110-145

Market's NRFI chance: 53% (margin removed, average of 5 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins

7:40 PM ETTarget Field · Minneapolis, MNFinal
Top 1st Tigers bat vs Bailey Ober RHPScoreless
Pitcher, this season scoreless 1 of 2 (50%) · 1.00 runs/1st 2 starts
Pitcher vs Tigers scoreless 7 of 9 (78%) · 0.33 runs/1st 9 starts
Tigers vs RHP scored in 2 of 11 (18%) · 0.64 runs/1st 11 games
Tigers top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Bot 1st Twins bat vs Framber Valdez LHP6 runs
Pitcher, this season scoreless 2 of 2 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 2 starts
Pitcher vs Twins scoreless 1 of 2 (50%) · 0.50 runs/1st 2 starts
Twins vs LHP scored in 0 of 6 (0%) · 0.00 runs/1st 6 games
Twins top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)
Wind 15 mph blowing out (+15 mph toward center) · 51°F, Partly Cloudy
MLB game-time report: “15 mph, Out To CF”
Plate umpire Steven Jaschinski
With this umpire run in the 1st in 2 of 4 (50%) · league 49% 4 games
Per 1st inning 0.50 BB+HBP (lg 0.83) · 1.75 K (lg 2.00) · 1.00 runs (lg 1.04)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runsYRFINRFI
FanDuel+108-138
BetMGM-102-125
Caesars+105-135
betonlineag+125-167

Market's NRFI chance: 55% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.