First Inning Runs · Sep 23, 2026

Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers

1:10 PM ETComerica Park · Detroit, MIFinal

Top 1st Nationals bat vs Framber Valdez LHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 20 of 30 (67%) · 0.93 runs/1st 30 starts

Pitcher vs Nationals scoreless 2 of 2 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 2 starts

Nationals vs LHP scored in 14 of 47 (30%) · 0.66 runs/1st 47 games

Nationals top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Bot 1st Tigers bat vs Richard Lovelady LHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 4 of 5 (80%) · 0.20 runs/1st 5 starts

Pitcher vs TigersHasn't faced the Tigers

Tigers vs LHP scored in 16 of 47 (34%) · 0.55 runs/1st 47 games

Tigers top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Wind 14 mph blowing in (−10 mph from center) · 65°F, Sunny

MLB game-time report: “14 mph, In From LF”

Plate umpire Mike Muchlinski

With this umpire run in the 1st in 56 of 120 (47%) · league 49% 120 games

Per 1st inning 0.80 BB+HBP (lg 0.84) · 2.31 K (lg 2.02) · 1.07 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runs	YRFI	NRFI
FanDuel	+106	-132
BetMGM	+105	-135
Caesars	+111	-137
betonlineag	+119	-159

Market's NRFI chance: 55% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles

1:35 PM ETOriole Park at Camden Yards · Baltimore, MDFinal

Top 1st Blue Jays bat vs Chris Bassitt RHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 11 of 17 (65%) · 0.47 runs/1st 17 starts

Pitcher vs Blue Jays scoreless 2 of 2 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 2 starts

Blue Jays vs RHP scored in 31 of 113 (27%) · 0.49 runs/1st 113 games

Blue Jays top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Bot 1st Orioles bat vs Max Scherzer RHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 6 of 16 (38%) · 1.06 runs/1st 16 starts

Pitcher vs Orioles scoreless 2 of 5 (40%) · 1.00 runs/1st 5 starts

Orioles vs RHP scored in 32 of 107 (30%) · 0.57 runs/1st 107 games

Orioles top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Wind 7 mph blowing in (−7 mph from center) · 63°F, Overcast

MLB game-time report: “7 mph, In From CF”

Plate umpire Mark Wegner

With this umpire run in the 1st in 61 of 110 (55%) · league 49% 110 games

Per 1st inning 0.93 BB+HBP (lg 0.84) · 1.94 K (lg 2.02) · 1.20 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runs	YRFI	NRFI
FanDuel	+108	-138
BetMGM	+105	-135
Caesars	+109	-134
betonlineag	+111	-147
BetRivers	-112	-118

Market's NRFI chance: 54% (margin removed, average of 5 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Minnesota Twins at San Francisco Giants

3:45 PM ETOracle Park · San Francisco, CAFinal

Top 1st Twins bat vs Cesar Perdomo LHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 2 of 3 (67%) · 0.33 runs/1st 3 starts

Pitcher vs TwinsHasn't faced the Twins

Twins vs LHP scored in 15 of 49 (31%) · 0.69 runs/1st 49 games

Twins top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Bot 1st Giants bat vs Connor Prielipp LHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 13 of 21 (62%) · 0.81 runs/1st 21 starts

Pitcher vs GiantsHasn't faced the Giants

Giants vs LHP scored in 17 of 48 (35%) · 0.52 runs/1st 48 games

Giants top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Wind 7 mph across the field · 68°F, Sunny

MLB game-time report: “7 mph, Varies”

Plate umpire Dillon Wilson

With this umpire run in the 1st in 4 of 9 (44%) · league 49% 9 games

Per 1st inning 1.11 BB+HBP (lg 0.84) · 2.56 K (lg 2.02) · 0.78 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runs	YRFI	NRFI
FanDuel	+102	-130
BetMGM	+105	-135
Caesars	+118	-145
betonlineag	+109	-145

Market's NRFI chance: 55% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles

6:35 PM ETOriole Park at Camden Yards · Baltimore, MDFinal

Top 1st Blue Jays bat vs Trey Gibson RHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 2 of 7 (29%) · 1.43 runs/1st 7 starts

Pitcher vs Blue JaysHasn't faced the Blue Jays

Blue Jays vs RHP scored in 31 of 113 (27%) · 0.49 runs/1st 113 games

Blue Jays top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Bot 1st Orioles bat vs CJ Van Eyk RHP3 runs

Pitcher, this seasonNo 1st innings yet this season

Pitcher vs OriolesHasn't faced the Orioles

Orioles vs RHP scored in 32 of 107 (30%) · 0.57 runs/1st 107 games

Orioles top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Wind 15 mph blowing in (−15 mph from center) · 65°F, Partly Cloudy

MLB game-time report: “15 mph, In From CF”

Plate umpire Nate Tomlinson

With this umpire run in the 1st in 62 of 120 (52%) · league 49% 120 games

Per 1st inning 0.84 BB+HBP (lg 0.84) · 2.08 K (lg 2.02) · 1.11 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runs	YRFI	NRFI
FanDuel	-104	-122
BetMGM	+105	-135
Caesars	+103	-127

Market's NRFI chance: 53% (margin removed, average of 3 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates

6:40 PM ETPNC Park · Pittsburgh, PAFinal

Top 1st Cardinals bat vs Lake Bachar RHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 8 of 11 (73%) · 0.27 runs/1st 11 starts

Pitcher vs Cardinals scoreless 1 of 1 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 1 start

Cardinals vs RHP scored in 29 of 110 (26%) · 0.47 runs/1st 110 games

Cardinals top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Bot 1st Pirates bat vs Matthew Liberatore LHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 19 of 30 (63%) · 0.63 runs/1st 30 starts

Pitcher vs Pirates scoreless 4 of 5 (80%) · 0.20 runs/1st 5 starts

Pirates vs LHP scored in 11 of 50 (22%) · 0.42 runs/1st 50 games

Pirates top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Wind 12 mph blowing in (−12 mph from center) · 63°F, Partly Cloudy

MLB game-time report: “12 mph, In From CF”

Plate umpire John Bacon

With this umpire run in the 1st in 43 of 79 (54%) · league 49% 79 games

Per 1st inning 0.67 BB+HBP (lg 0.84) · 1.96 K (lg 2.02) · 0.87 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runs	YRFI	NRFI
FanDuel	+106	-136
BetMGM	+105	-135
Caesars	+112	-139
betonlineag	+105	-139

Market's NRFI chance: 54% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies

6:40 PM ETCitizens Bank Park · Philadelphia, PAFinal

Top 1st Brewers bat vs Aaron Nola RHP1 run

Pitcher, this season scoreless 22 of 31 (71%) · 0.42 runs/1st 31 starts

Pitcher vs Brewers scoreless 5 of 6 (83%) · 0.83 runs/1st 6 starts

Brewers vs RHP scored in 28 of 108 (26%) · 0.56 runs/1st 108 games

Brewers top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Bot 1st Phillies bat vs Logan Henderson RHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 15 of 17 (88%) · 0.12 runs/1st 17 starts

Pitcher vs PhilliesHasn't faced the Phillies

Phillies vs RHP scored in 30 of 102 (29%) · 0.60 runs/1st 102 games

Phillies top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Wind 14 mph across the field · 65°F, Partly Cloudy

MLB game-time report: “14 mph, R To L”

Plate umpire Dan Bellino

With this umpire run in the 1st in 61 of 126 (48%) · league 49% 126 games

Per 1st inning 0.98 BB+HBP (lg 0.84) · 2.14 K (lg 2.02) · 1.19 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runs	YRFI	NRFI
FanDuel	+106	-136
BetMGM	+118	-150
Caesars	+114	-141
betonlineag	+110	-147
BetRivers	+108	-143

Market's NRFI chance: 55% (margin removed, average of 5 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees

7:05 PM ETYankee Stadium · Bronx, NYFinal

Top 1st Rays bat vs Gerrit Cole RHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 16 of 21 (76%) · 0.33 runs/1st 21 starts

Pitcher vs Rays scoreless 5 of 7 (71%) · 0.43 runs/1st 7 starts

Rays vs RHP scored in 33 of 110 (30%) · 0.47 runs/1st 110 games

Rays top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Bot 1st Yankees bat vs Mason Englert RHP1 run

Pitcher, this season scoreless 2 of 3 (67%) · 1.00 runs/1st 3 starts

Pitcher vs YankeesHasn't faced the Yankees

Yankees vs RHP scored in 26 of 104 (25%) · 0.47 runs/1st 104 games

Yankees top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Wind 13 mph blowing in (−9 mph from center) · 64°F, Partly Cloudy

MLB game-time report: “13 mph, In From LF”

Plate umpire James Hoye

With this umpire run in the 1st in 61 of 121 (50%) · league 49% 121 games

Per 1st inning 0.77 BB+HBP (lg 0.84) · 2.02 K (lg 2.02) · 1.05 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runs	YRFI	NRFI
FanDuel	+116	-148
BetMGM	+125	-160
Caesars	+122	-152
betonlineag	+125	-167

Market's NRFI chance: 58% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox

7:10 PM ETFenway Park · Boston, MAFinal

Top 1st Guardians bat vs Sonny Gray RHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 18 of 28 (64%) · 0.39 runs/1st 28 starts

Pitcher vs Guardians scoreless 5 of 6 (83%) · 0.17 runs/1st 6 starts

Guardians vs RHP scored in 29 of 101 (29%) · 0.52 runs/1st 101 games

Guardians top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Bot 1st Red Sox bat vs Foster Griffin LHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 25 of 30 (83%) · 0.37 runs/1st 30 starts

Pitcher vs Red SoxHasn't faced the Red Sox

Red Sox vs LHP scored in 12 of 40 (30%) · 0.53 runs/1st 40 games

Red Sox top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Wind 9 mph blowing in (−9 mph from center) · 57°F, Clear

MLB game-time report: “9 mph, In From CF”

Plate umpire Paul Clemons

With this umpire run in the 1st in 49 of 98 (50%) · league 49% 98 games

Per 1st inning 0.78 BB+HBP (lg 0.84) · 1.97 K (lg 2.02) · 1.11 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runs	YRFI	NRFI
FanDuel	+116	-148
BetMGM	+120	-155
Caesars	+125	-157
betonlineag	+120	-161

Market's NRFI chance: 57% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves

7:15 PM ETTruist Park · Atlanta, GAFinal

Top 1st Reds bat vs Chris Sale LHP1 run

Pitcher, this season scoreless 23 of 26 (88%) · 0.12 runs/1st 26 starts

Pitcher vs Reds scoreless 3 of 3 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 3 starts

Reds vs LHP scored in 6 of 43 (14%) · 0.23 runs/1st 43 games

Reds top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Bot 1st Braves bat vs Andrew Abbott LHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 17 of 31 (55%) · 0.81 runs/1st 31 starts

Pitcher vs Braves scoreless 2 of 2 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 2 starts

Braves vs LHP scored in 15 of 57 (26%) · 0.39 runs/1st 57 games

Braves top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Wind 12 mph across the field · 74°F, Partly Cloudy

MLB game-time report: “12 mph, L To R”

Plate umpire Derek Thomas

With this umpire run in the 1st in 46 of 92 (50%) · league 49% 92 games

Per 1st inning 0.95 BB+HBP (lg 0.84) · 2.08 K (lg 2.02) · 1.03 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runs	YRFI	NRFI
FanDuel	+112	-140
BetMGM	+110	-145
Caesars	+112	-141
betonlineag	+106	-141
BetRivers	+106	-141

Market's NRFI chance: 55% (margin removed, average of 5 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals

7:40 PM ETKauffman Stadium · Kansas City, MOFinal

Top 1st White Sox bat vs Seth Lugo RHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 15 of 31 (48%) · 0.87 runs/1st 31 starts

Pitcher vs White Sox scoreless 7 of 7 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 7 starts

White Sox vs RHP scored in 33 of 109 (30%) · 0.64 runs/1st 109 games

White Sox top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Bot 1st Royals bat vs Bryan Hudson LHP4 runs

Pitcher, this season scoreless 6 of 8 (75%) · 0.38 runs/1st 8 starts

Pitcher vs RoyalsHasn't faced the Royals

Royals vs LHP scored in 14 of 45 (31%) · 0.47 runs/1st 45 games

Royals top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Wind 6 mph blowing in (−4 mph from center) · 74°F, Partly Cloudy

MLB game-time report: “6 mph, In From RF”

Plate umpire Clint Vondrak

With this umpire run in the 1st in 64 of 121 (53%) · league 49% 121 games

Per 1st inning 0.86 BB+HBP (lg 0.84) · 1.99 K (lg 2.02) · 1.18 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runs	YRFI	NRFI
FanDuel	-106	-120
BetMGM	-110	-118
Caesars	-106	-118
betonlineag	-102	-130
BetRivers	-109	-121

Market's NRFI chance: 52% (margin removed, average of 5 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs

7:40 PM ETWrigley Field · Chicago, ILFinal

Top 1st Marlins bat vs Kevin Gausman RHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 21 of 31 (68%) · 0.74 runs/1st 31 starts

Pitcher vs Marlins scoreless 2 of 3 (67%) · 0.33 runs/1st 3 starts

Marlins vs RHP scored in 30 of 114 (26%) · 0.46 runs/1st 114 games

Marlins top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Bot 1st Cubs bat vs Ryan Gusto RHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 14 of 17 (82%) · 0.29 runs/1st 17 starts

Pitcher vs Cubs scoreless 1 of 1 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 1 start

Cubs vs RHP scored in 30 of 112 (27%) · 0.51 runs/1st 112 games

Cubs top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Wind 13 mph blowing in (−9 mph from center) · 63°F, Partly Cloudy

MLB game-time report: “13 mph, In From RF”

Plate umpire Vic Carapazza

With this umpire run in the 1st in 64 of 132 (48%) · league 49% 132 games

Per 1st inning 0.88 BB+HBP (lg 0.84) · 1.98 K (lg 2.02) · 0.97 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runs	YRFI	NRFI
FanDuel	+120	-154
BetMGM	+120	-155
Caesars	+118	-148
betonlineag	+120	-161
BetRivers	+110	-148

Market's NRFI chance: 57% (margin removed, average of 5 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

New York Mets at Texas Rangers

8:05 PM ETGlobe Life Field · Arlington, TXFinal

Top 1st Mets bat vs Cody Bradford LHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 5 of 7 (71%) · 0.43 runs/1st 7 starts

Pitcher vs MetsHasn't faced the Mets

Mets vs LHP scored in 13 of 45 (29%) · 0.42 runs/1st 45 games

Mets top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Bot 1st Rangers bat vs Nolan McLean RHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 21 of 30 (70%) · 0.50 runs/1st 30 starts

Pitcher vs Rangers scoreless 1 of 1 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 1 start

Rangers vs RHP scored in 34 of 110 (31%) · 0.55 runs/1st 110 games

Rangers top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Wind Roof closed: no wind · 74°F

MLB game-time report: “0 mph, None”

Plate umpire Lance Barrett

With this umpire run in the 1st in 53 of 127 (42%) · league 49% 127 games

Per 1st inning 0.83 BB+HBP (lg 0.84) · 2.04 K (lg 2.02) · 0.96 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runs	YRFI	NRFI
FanDuel	-113	-113
BetMGM	+100	-130
Caesars	+101	-127
betonlineag	-103	-128
BetRivers	-117	-114

Market's NRFI chance: 52% (margin removed, average of 5 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies

8:40 PM ETCoors Field · Denver, COFinal5,190 ft

Top 1st Diamondbacks bat vs Mason Adams RHP4 runs

Pitcher, this season scoreless 4 of 5 (80%) · 0.40 runs/1st 5 starts

Pitcher vs DiamondbacksHasn't faced the Diamondbacks

Diamondbacks vs RHP scored in 34 of 116 (29%) · 0.42 runs/1st 116 games

Diamondbacks top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Bot 1st Rockies bat vs Merrill Kelly RHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 20 of 28 (71%) · 0.54 runs/1st 28 starts

Pitcher vs Rockies scoreless 7 of 10 (70%) · 0.40 runs/1st 10 starts

Rockies vs RHP scored in 34 of 107 (32%) · 0.47 runs/1st 107 games

Rockies top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Wind 10 mph across the field · 72°F, Cloudy

MLB game-time report: “10 mph, L To R”

Plate umpire Nestor Ceja

With this umpire run in the 1st in 58 of 121 (48%) · league 49% 121 games

Per 1st inning 0.73 BB+HBP (lg 0.84) · 2.08 K (lg 2.02) · 1.04 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runs	YRFI	NRFI
FanDuel	-148	+116
BetMGM	-150	+115
Caesars	-143	+116
betonlineag	-149	+112

Market's NRFI chance: 44% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Los Angeles Angels at Athletics

9:40 PM ETSutter Health Park · Sacramento, CAFinal

Top 1st Angels bat vs Jeffrey Springs LHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 14 of 28 (50%) · 0.86 runs/1st 28 starts

Pitcher vs Angels scoreless 1 of 2 (50%) · 1.50 runs/1st 2 starts

Angels vs LHP scored in 17 of 48 (35%) · 0.60 runs/1st 48 games

Angels top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Bot 1st Athletics bat vs Walbert Ureña RHP4 runs

Pitcher, this season scoreless 23 of 26 (88%) · 0.12 runs/1st 26 starts

Pitcher vs Athletics scoreless 3 of 3 (100%) · 0.00 runs/1st 3 starts

Athletics vs RHP scored in 29 of 102 (28%) · 0.65 runs/1st 102 games

Athletics top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Wind calm (3 mph) · 86°F, Clear

MLB game-time report: “3 mph, Calm”

Plate umpire Felix Neon

With this umpire run in the 1st in 4 of 7 (57%) · league 49% 7 games

Per 1st inning 1.00 BB+HBP (lg 0.84) · 2.43 K (lg 2.02) · 1.14 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runs	YRFI	NRFI
FanDuel	-125	-102
BetMGM	-118	-110
Caesars	-127	+101
betonlineag	-133	+100
BetRivers	-143	+108

Market's NRFI chance: 47% (margin removed, average of 5 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners

10:10 PM ETT-Mobile Park · Seattle, WAFinal

Top 1st Astros bat vs George Kirby RHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 17 of 29 (59%) · 0.69 runs/1st 29 starts

Pitcher vs Astros scoreless 10 of 11 (91%) · 0.09 runs/1st 11 starts

Astros vs RHP scored in 43 of 117 (37%) · 0.63 runs/1st 117 games

Astros top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Bot 1st Mariners bat vs Ethan Pecko RHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 3 of 4 (75%) · 0.50 runs/1st 4 starts

Pitcher vs MarinersHasn't faced the Mariners

Mariners vs RHP scored in 31 of 104 (30%) · 0.55 runs/1st 104 games

Mariners top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Wind 6 mph blowing in (−4 mph from center) · 62°F, Partly Cloudy

MLB game-time report: “6 mph, In From LF”

Plate umpire Marvin Hudson

With this umpire run in the 1st in 58 of 109 (53%) · league 49% 109 games

Per 1st inning 0.89 BB+HBP (lg 0.84) · 2.14 K (lg 2.02) · 1.14 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runs	YRFI	NRFI
FanDuel	-104	-122
BetMGM	+105	-135
Caesars	+103	-127
betonlineag	+101	-133

Market's NRFI chance: 53% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.

San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers

10:10 PM ETUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium · Los Angeles, CAFinal

Top 1st Padres bat vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto RHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 19 of 27 (70%) · 0.41 runs/1st 27 starts

Pitcher vs Padres scoreless 5 of 9 (56%) · 1.22 runs/1st 9 starts

Padres vs RHP scored in 26 of 116 (22%) · 0.39 runs/1st 116 games

Padres top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Bot 1st Dodgers bat vs Robbie Ray LHPScoreless

Pitcher, this season scoreless 23 of 29 (79%) · 0.38 runs/1st 29 starts

Pitcher vs Dodgers scoreless 4 of 5 (80%) · 0.20 runs/1st 5 starts

Dodgers vs LHP scored in 15 of 53 (28%) · 0.45 runs/1st 53 games

Dodgers top of orderNot rated yet (updates each morning)

Wind 4 mph blowing out (+4 mph toward center) · 74°F, Clear

MLB game-time report: “4 mph, Out To CF”

Plate umpire Ryan Additon

With this umpire run in the 1st in 61 of 117 (52%) · league 49% 117 games

Per 1st inning 0.74 BB+HBP (lg 0.84) · 1.86 K (lg 2.02) · 1.04 runs (lg 1.05)

Context, not an edge: in 2023-2026 (7,965 games) umpires' 1st-inning scoring rates differed no more than luck would produce.

1st inning, 0.5 runs	YRFI	NRFI
FanDuel	-111	-115
BetMGM	-105	-120
Caesars	-108	-115
betonlineag	-102	-130

Market's NRFI chance: 51% (margin removed, average of 4 books)

Full-game lines not posted yet.